Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:15 •
Racecourse Ground
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.95)
1.44 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
2 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Albania W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wales W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 50% | 19% |
| Defense | 81% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 6 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
100%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Wales W: DW • Albania W: WL
League goals
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wales W | Albania W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-5 | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wales W | Albania W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Wales W and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.04 @ William Hill
Draw18.00 @ Dafabet
Away56.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.00 @ BetVictor
No1.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.14 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.55 @ Marathonbet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Wales W = 3.08 (league 1.95), Albania W = 1.44 (league 1.39)
| Albania W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wales W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 14.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
