Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.95)
1.44 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 26.6% | 46.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| France W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Netherlands W | 0 | 8.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 27% | 40% |
| Defense | 80% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
94%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Netherlands W: DW • France W: WW
League goals
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Netherlands W | France W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Netherlands W | France W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 36.4% | 63.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or France W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.60 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away1.73 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ Betfair
No2.25 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Netherlands W = 1.03 (league 1.95), France W = 1.44 (league 1.39)
| France W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Netherlands W | 0 | 8.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 46.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
