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Sweden W vs Italy W Prediction, Odds & Stats | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

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🏆 World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 🌍 World

Tue, Jun 9 2026 · 17:00

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Sweden W

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Italy W

🏆 World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.23

League avg: 0.80

Both

3.03

League avg: 2.80

Away

2.80

League avg: 2.00

1X2 Probability

Home

8%

ELO-based: 41%

Draw

20%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

72%

ELO-based: 35%

Goal Probability

2.5+

49%

3.5+

29%

BTTS

37%

Best Score Tips

0 - 219%

0 - 318%

0 - 114%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Italy W
		0	1	2	3	4
Sweden W	0	4.8%	13.5%	18.9%	17.6%	12.3%
	1	1.1%	3.1%	4.4%	4.1%	2.9%
	2	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1541-5

League

1499±0

Away

1517+24

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sweden W	1541	1531	1507	1543	1559	-5
Italy W	1517	1545	1526	1532	1566	+24

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sweden W	—	5	7	2	1	2	4	4	WDLWL
Italy W	—	5	8	2	2	1	10	2	LDWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sweden W	5	47%	18%	82%	0.8	0.8
Italy W	5	53%	45%	91%	2.0	0.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sweden W	1.0	0.7	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.8
Italy W	1.3	3.0	2.0	0.7	0.0	0.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sweden W	0.8	1.0	0.8	1.0
Italy W	2.0	3.0	0.4	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	25.00%
16-30	25.00%	20.00%	50.00%	50.00%
31-45		20.00%
46-60	50.00%
61-75		20.00%	25.00%	50.00%
76-90		40.00%	25.00%

Team Comparison

47%

Form

53%

29%

Attack

71%

33%

Defense

67%

%

Poisson

1%

85%

H2H

15%

67%

Goals

33%

52%

Total

48%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sweden W	1-0	0-1	1-2	2-1	1 / 1	2 / 2
Italy W	3-0	0-6	0-1		3 / 6	1 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sweden W	3	1	2	1	0	1
Italy W	3	1	2	2	1	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sweden W	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Italy W	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-03	Italy W	0 - 1 FT	Sweden W
2025-05-30	Italy W	0 - 0 FT	Sweden W
2025-04-04	Sweden W	3 - 2 FT	Italy W
2023-10-31	Sweden W	1 - 1 FT	Italy W
2023-09-26	Italy W	0 - 1 FT	Sweden W
2023-07-29	Sweden W	5 - 0 FT	Italy W

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.