Logan Lightning 4-1 St George Willawong: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Logan Lightning 4-1 St George Willawong: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Queensland Premier League 🌍 Australia

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 06:00

Logan Lightning

4 - 1

St George Willawong

🏆 Queensland Premier League

🌍 Australia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.16

League avg: 1.80

Both

3.47

League avg: 2.40

Away

1.31

League avg: 0.60

1X2 Probability

Home

57%

ELO-based: 50%

Draw

23%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

20%

ELO-based: 26%

Goal Probability

2.5+

60%

3.5+

37%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

2 - 110%

1 - 19%

2 - 07%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		St George Willawong
		0	1	2	3	4
Logan Lightning	0	3.1%	4.1%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%
	1	6.7%	8.8%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
	2	7.3%	9.5%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
	3	5.2%	6.9%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%
	4	2.8%	3.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1485+11

League

1487±0

Away

1368+27

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Logan Lightning	1485	1480	1527	1604	1387	+11
St George Willawong	1368	1366	1455	1350	1289	+27

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Logan Lightning	7	20	24	7	3	10	35	38	WLWDL
St George Willawong	11	20	13	4	1	15	11	42	WWLWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Logan Lightning	5	47%	80%	40%	2.4	1.8
St George Willawong	5	60%	33%	80%	1.0	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Logan Lightning	2.1	1.4	1.8	2.0	1.8	1.9
St George Willawong	0.4	0.7	0.6	1.9	2.3	2.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Logan Lightning	1.8	2.1	1.9	2.0
St George Willawong	0.6	0.7	2.1	2.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	14.29%		7.89%	4.76%
16-30	25.71%	9.09%	13.16%	9.52%
31-45	2.86%	63.64%	26.32%	16.67%
46-60	20.00%	9.09%	13.16%	19.05%
61-75	11.43%	9.09%	18.42%	16.67%
76-90	25.71%	9.09%	18.42%	23.81%

Team Comparison

44%

Form

56%

71%

Attack

29%

25%

Defense

75%

Poisson

25%

H2H

75%

42%

Goals

58%

47%

Total

53%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Logan Lightning	5-1	1-3	0-4	5-2	5 / 3	4 / 5
St George Willawong	2-0	0-2	1-5	8-0	2 / 2	5 / 8

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Logan Lightning	3	2	1	5	1	4
St George Willawong	4	2	2	12	7	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Logan Lightning	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
St George Willawong	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-10	St George Willawong	0 - 2 FT	Logan Lightning
2024-08-31	St George Willawong	2 - 1 FT	Logan Lightning
2024-06-16	St George Willawong	3 - 1 FT	Logan Lightning
2024-03-16	Logan Lightning	1 - 2 FT	St George Willawong

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.57	Betano
Draw	4.81	Pinnacle
Away win	5.00	Betfair
Over 2.5	1.45	10Bet
Under 2.5	2.63	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.54	Superbet
BTTS No	2.45	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Type	Detail
81'	Logan Lightning	Goal	Normal Goal
64'	Logan Lightning	Goal	Normal Goal
39'	Logan Lightning	Goal	Normal Goal
36'	Logan Lightning	Goal	Normal Goal
19'	St George Willawong	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Brisbane Strikers	1	21	54	17	3	1	50	15	35	WWWWW
Broadbeach United	2	21	49	15	4	2	50	20	30	LWLDD
Ipswich	3	21	35	10	5	6	35	29	6	WDWLD
SC Wanderers	4	21	34	9	7	5	40	27	13	WDDLW
Caboolture	5	21	31	9	4	8	44	36	8	WDLDL
Robina City	6	21	29	8	5	8	34	28	6	LLDWD
Logan Lightning	7	21	27	8	3	10	39	39	0	WLDWL
Redlands United	8	21	27	7	6	8	38	38	0	LDDDW
Holland Park Hawks	9	21	27	8	3	10	37	46	-9	LWLDD
North Star	10	21	18	5	3	13	20	40	-20	WWLDL
St George Willawong	11	21	13	4	1	16	12	46	-34	LLWLW
Capalaba	12	21	11	3	2	16	20	55	-35	LLWDL