Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Expected Goals
4.79 (league 1.25)
0.05 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
best score tips
4 - 0
17.3%
5 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Millonarios W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Nacional W | 0 | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 16.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 60% | 50% |
| Defense | 100% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Atlético Nacional W: WW • Millonarios W: WW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Millonarios W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 87% | 13% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético Nacional W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Nacional W = 4.79 (league 1.25), Millonarios W = 0.05 (league 1.04)
| Millonarios W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Nacional W | 0 | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 16.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 1.0% · Away win 0.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1