Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.25)
0.09 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 85.9% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
22.1%
3 - 0
20.3%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Santander W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Nacional W | 0 | 5.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 64% | 14% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 83% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 50% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Atlético Nacional W: WWWLWW • Real Santander W: DLDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Nacional W | Real Santander W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 76.3% | 23.7% |
Advice: Winner : Atlético Nacional W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Nacional W = 2.76 (league 1.25), Real Santander W = 0.09 (league 1.01)
| Real Santander W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Nacional W | 0 | 5.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.9% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 0.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1