Edgewater Castle 2-3 Rochester: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Edgewater Castle 2-3 Rochester: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 USL League Two 🌍 USA

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 21:00

Edgewater Castle

2 - 3

Rochester

🏆 USL League Two

🌍 USA

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

3.31

League avg: 1.80

Both

4.66

League avg: 2.80

Away

1.36

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

88%

ELO-based: 35%

Draw

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 41%

Goal Probability

2.5+

73%

3.5+

51%

BTTS

64%

Best Score Tips

3 - 18%

2 - 17%

4 - 16%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Edgewater Castle vs Rochester

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Edgewater Castle vs Rochester.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Rochester
		0	1	2	3	4
Edgewater Castle	0	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	3.1%	4.2%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	5.2%	7.0%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
	3	5.7%	7.7%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%
	4	4.7%	6.4%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%

ELO Overview

Home

1463-37

League

1501±0

Away

1494-11

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Edgewater Castle	1463	1424	1483	1511	1449	-37
Rochester	1494	1488	1488	1526	1385	-11

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Edgewater Castle	—	4	3	1	0	3	7	10	WLLL
Rochester	—	4	3	1	0	3	4	19	LWLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Edgewater Castle	4	25%	54%	23%	1.8	2.5
Rochester	4	25%	31%	0%	1.0	4.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Edgewater Castle	2.0	1.0	1.8	2.7	2.0	2.5
Rochester	3.0	0.3	1.0	2.0	5.7	4.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Edgewater Castle	1.8	2.0	2.5	2.7
Rochester	1.0	0.3	4.8	5.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

64%

Attack

36%

66%

Defense

34%

92%

Poisson

H2H

Goals

68%

Total

32%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Edgewater Castle	4-2		1-4	2-1	4 / 1	4 / 2
Rochester	3-2			8-0	3 / 1	2 / 8

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Edgewater Castle	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rochester	0	0	0	2	0	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Edgewater Castle	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Rochester	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.