Santafé Wanderers 3-2 Sunflower State: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Santafé Wanderers 3-2 Sunflower State: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 USL League Two 🌍 USA

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 00:00

Santafé Wanderers

3 - 2

Sunflower State

🏆 USL League Two

🌍 USA

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.37

League avg: 2.50

Both

4.00

League avg: 3.90

Away

1.63

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

54%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

23%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

23%

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

67%

3.5+

42%

BTTS

63%

Best Score Tips

2 - 18%

1 - 17%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Santafé Wanderers vs Sunflower State

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Santafé Wanderers vs Sunflower State.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Sunflower State
		0	1	2	3	4
Santafé Wanderers	0	1.8%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%
	1	4.4%	7.1%	5.7%	3.1%	1.3%
	2	5.2%	8.4%	6.8%	3.7%	1.5%
	3	4.1%	6.6%	5.4%	2.9%	1.2%
	4	2.4%	3.9%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%

ELO Overview

Home

1524+21

League

1500±0

Away

1443-32

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Santafé Wanderers	1524	1538	1480	1626	1433	+21
Sunflower State	1443	1423	1457	1513	1336	-32

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Santafé Wanderers	—	11	20	6	2	3	28	14	WWWLW
Sunflower State	—	11	12	4	0	7	15	28	LLLWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Santafé Wanderers	5	80%	87%	70%	4.0	1.4
Sunflower State	5	20%	22%	30%	1.0	3.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Santafé Wanderers	2.2	2.8	2.5	2.0	0.7	1.3
Sunflower State	1.5	1.2	1.4	2.5	2.6	2.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Santafé Wanderers	2.5	2.2	1.3	2.0
Sunflower State	1.4	1.2	2.5	2.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

69%

Poisson

31%

71%

H2H

29%

63%

Goals

37%

72%

Total

28%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Santafé Wanderers	5-2	0-5	4-5	2-1	5 / 5	5 / 2
Sunflower State	2-0	1-2	0-5	5-2	3 / 2	5 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Santafé Wanderers	4	0	4	1	1	0
Sunflower State	1	1	0	2	1	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Santafé Wanderers	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Sunflower State	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-06-28	Sunflower State	0 - 5 FT	Santafé Wanderers
2026-06-25	Santafé Wanderers	5 - 2 FT	Sunflower State
2025-07-10	Sunflower State	2 - 2 FT	Santafé Wanderers
2025-06-26	Sunflower State	2 - 3 FT	Santafé Wanderers
2025-06-12	Santafé Wanderers	2 - 4 FT	Sunflower State

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.