Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 12:15 •
Chang Arena
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.67)
0.91 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 29.5% | 27.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Melbourne City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buriram United | 0 | 12.2% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 86% | 86% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 20% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Buriram United: WLLWDDWWD • Melbourne City: LLWWWDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Buriram United | Melbourne City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 67% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 44% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Buriram United | Melbourne City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Melbourne City and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Buriram United = 1.20 (league 1.67), Melbourne City = 0.91 (league 1.15)
| Melbourne City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buriram United | 0 | 12.2% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 27.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1