FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 FC Minsk: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 FC Minsk: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premier League 🌍 Belarus

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 15:30

FC Dnepr Mogilev

1 - 2

FC Minsk

🏆 Premier League

🌍 Belarus

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.12

League avg: 0.80

Both

1.87

League avg: 2.20

Away

0.74

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

41%

ELO-based: 35%

Draw

36%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

23%

ELO-based: 41%

Goal Probability

2.5+

41%

3.5+

22%

BTTS

45%

Best Score Tips

1 - 017%

0 - 016%

1 - 113%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		FC Minsk
		0	1	2	3	4
FC Dnepr Mogilev	0	15.5%	11.5%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%
	1	17.4%	12.9%	4.8%	1.2%	0.2%
	2	9.8%	7.3%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
	3	3.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1490-31

League

1553±0

Away

1521+4

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
FC Dnepr Mogilev	1490	1469	1516	1495	1533	-31
FC Minsk	1521	1531	1512	1532	1431	+4

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
FC Dnepr Mogilev	13	14	11	2	5	7	11	20	DLLWL
FC Minsk	9	14	19	5	4	5	19	19	DLDDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
FC Dnepr Mogilev	5	27%	25%	58%	0.6	1.0
FC Minsk	5	20%	33%	33%	0.8	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
FC Dnepr Mogilev	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.9	1.4
FC Minsk	1.8	0.6	1.4	1.2	1.6	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
FC Dnepr Mogilev	0.8	0.8	1.4	0.8
FC Minsk	1.4	0.6	1.4	1.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.33%	11.11%	5.26%	15.00%
16-30	16.67%	11.11%	5.26%	20.00%
31-45	33.33%	16.67%	15.79%	15.00%
46-60	25.00%	22.22%	21.05%	5.00%
61-75	8.33%	5.56%	31.58%	25.00%
76-90	8.33%	33.33%	21.05%	20.00%

Team Comparison

57%

Form

43%

Attack

57%

62%

Defense

38%

Poisson

38%

H2H

62%

Goals

53%

Total

47%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
FC Dnepr Mogilev	2-0	1-2	0-1	5-1	2 / 2	2 / 5
FC Minsk	5-1	1-2	0-3	3-0	5 / 2	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
FC Dnepr Mogilev	3	2	1	6	3	3
FC Minsk	3	2	1	5	2	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
FC Dnepr Mogilev	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
FC Minsk	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-24	FC Dnepr Mogilev	4 - 1 FT	FC Minsk
2024-09-29	FC Minsk	2 - 2 FT	FC Dnepr Mogilev
2024-05-10	FC Dnepr Mogilev	1 - 1 FT	FC Minsk
2024-02-17	FC Minsk	3 - 2 FT	FC Dnepr Mogilev
2023-07-28	FC Minsk	2 - 0 FT	FC Dnepr Mogilev
2023-03-04	FC Minsk	0 - 0 FT	FC Dnepr Mogilev

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.50	1xBet
Draw	3.12	Pinnacle
Away win	2.95	Dafabet
Over 2.5	2.33	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.59	Marathonbet
BTTS Yes	1.95	William Hill
BTTS No	1.78	1xBet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	FC Dnepr Mogilev	FC Minsk
Ball Possession	47%	53%
Total Shots	4	8
Shots on Goal	2	3
Shots off Goal	2	5
Blocked Shots	0	0
Corner Kicks	2	6
Yellow Cards	1	0
Red Cards	0	0
Free Kicks	6	7

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	FC Minsk	A. Ksenofontov	Goal	Normal Goal
90'	FC Minsk	E. Ernisov	Card	Yellow Card
84'	FC Minsk	A. Makas	Goal	Assist: E. Ernisov
79'	FC Minsk	F. Campo	subst	Out: I. Sviridenko
71'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	N. Tereshchuk	subst	Out: T. Martynov
71'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	N. Krasnov	subst	Out: T. Tkachev
69'	FC Minsk	F. Abena	subst	Out: E. Zubovich
69'	FC Minsk	K. Kuchinskiy	subst	Out: V. Dikhtievskiy
64'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	E. Karpitskiy	subst	Out: K. Zabelin
63'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	K. Kirilenko	subst	Out: A. Denisyuk
57'	FC Minsk	M. Dieye	subst	Out: A. Makas
57'	FC Minsk	A. Migdalenok	subst	Out: E. Ernisov
57'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	K. Tsepenkov	subst	Out: V. Harutyunyan
54'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	N. Perovic	Card	Yellow Card
54'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	N. Perovic	Card	Red Card
45+3'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	K. Tsepenkov	Goal	Assist: K. Kirilenko
8'	FC Dnepr Mogilev	N. Perovic	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Premier League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Dinamo Minsk Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	14	33	10	3	1	26	12	14	WDWWW
ML Vitebsk Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	2	14	31	9	4	1	30	13	17	WWDLW
FC Isloch Minsk R. Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	14	28	8	4	2	24	10	14	WWWWD
FC Gomel	4	14	25	7	4	3	20	12	8	WDWLW
Torpedo Zhodino	5	14	23	6	5	3	23	12	11	LWWDW
Dinamo Brest	6	14	21	6	3	5	20	14	6	WDWLL
Arsenal	7	14	21	5	6	3	18	18	0	WDWWL
Neman	8	14	20	6	2	6	15	14	1	LLLWL
FC Minsk	9	14	19	5	4	5	19	19	0	LDDLD
FC Vitebsk	10	14	17	4	5	5	13	16	-3	WDLWL
Slavia Mozyr	11	14	15	3	6	5	13	18	-5	LDLDW
Baranovichi	12	14	13	3	4	7	14	26	-12	DDLWW
FC Dnepr Mogilev	13	14	11	2	5	7	11	20	-9	LWLLD
Belshina Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)	14	14	11	3	2	9	13	26	-13	DLLDL
Bate Borisov Relegation - Pershaya Liga	15	14	9	1	6	7	9	17	-8	LLLDD
Naftan Relegation - Pershaya Liga	16	14	6	1	3	10	10	31	-21	LLWLL