Brasileiro U20 A — Brazil
Wed, May 13 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Criciuma U20

—

Fortaleza U20

Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.67) 1.83 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 21.4% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Criciuma U20 0 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.5% 8.2% 7.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Fortaleza U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 40 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Criciuma U20 -40.0, Fortaleza U20 -29.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Criciuma U20 Elo 1565.8 · -40.0
vs
Fortaleza U20 Elo 1640.6 · -29.6
Elo gapFortaleza U20 +40
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo3206.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3206.4
Elo home share 44%
Match tone Strong Watch
Metric Criciuma U20 Fortaleza U20
Overall Elo1565.81640.6
Form Elo1542.71624.7
Home / Away Elo1563.41545.3
Attack Elo1580.51701.1
Defense Elo16181679.4
Last 5 Elo change-40.0-29.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Criciuma U20 last-5 Elo change: -40.0; Fortaleza U20 last-5 Elo change: -29.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCriciuma U20Fortaleza U20
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack53%27%
Defense7%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Criciuma U20 Fortaleza U20
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%0%20%0%20%10%
Draws0%17%10%100%40%70%
Loses50%83%70%0%40%20%
Criciuma U20LWLWLLLLLD
Fortaleza U20DDDWDDDLDL

League goals

Metric Criciuma U20 Fortaleza U20
HATHAT
GF total9514358
GF avg2.30.81.40.61.00.8
GA total912213710
GA avg2.32.02.10.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCriciuma U20Fortaleza U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%70%70%
1.540%60%10%30%
2.510%20%0%0%
3.510%20%0%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCriciuma U20Fortaleza U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricCriciuma U20Fortaleza U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCriciuma U20Fortaleza U20
Wins11
Draws03
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——0-1
Biggest losses4-64-2—2-0
Goals For4212
Goals Against6412

Model comparison

MetricCriciuma U20Fortaleza U20
Form25%75%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Criciuma U20 vs Fortaleza U20