Wed, May 13 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.67) 0.67 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.0% 26.1% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos U20 0 11.4% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Santos U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 189 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Santos U20 +5.8, Juventude U20 -16.2.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Santos U20 Elo 1672.2 · +5.8
vs
Juventude U20 Elo 1518.3 · -16.2
Elo gapSantos U20 +189
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo3190.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3190.5
Elo home share 75%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Santos U20 Juventude U20
Overall Elo1672.21518.3
Form Elo1675.91507.7
Home / Away Elo1558.11490.9
Attack Elo1718.41521.7
Defense Elo1607.11528.1
Last 5 Elo change+5.8-16.2

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Santos U20 last-5 Elo change: +5.8; Juventude U20 last-5 Elo change: -16.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos U20Juventude U20
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack40%27%
Defense47%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos U20 Juventude U20
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%40%50%20%0%10%
Draws0%40%20%20%40%30%
Loses40%20%30%60%60%60%
Santos U20WWLDWDWLWL
Juventude U20LDWLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Santos U20 Juventude U20
HATHAT
GF total9514538
GF avg1.81.01.41.00.60.8
GA total741111718
GA avg1.40.81.12.21.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos U20Juventude U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%70%100%
1.540%20%10%50%
2.520%20%0%30%
3.510%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos U20Juventude U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricSantos U20Juventude U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSantos U20Juventude U20
Wins21
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-1—
Biggest losses0-43-10-32-0
Goals For4221
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricSantos U20Juventude U20
Form78%22%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total60.0%40.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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