Cearense - 1 — Brazil
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.25) 0.17 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 64.8% 11.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
61.5%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 61.5% 10.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.7% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCearaFortaleza EC
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack100%50%
Defense92%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceara Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%80%70%67%50%60%
Draws40%20%30%33%50%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Ceara: WWDWWWDWWD • Fortaleza EC: DWWWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Ceara Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
GF total10142410313
GF avg2.02.82.41.70.81.3
GA total134202
GA avg0.20.60.40.30.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCearaFortaleza EC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%40%80%20%
1.550%0%30%0%
2.550%0%10%0%
3.540%0%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCearaFortaleza EC
HATHAT
Clean sheets426448
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricCearaFortaleza EC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCearaFortaleza EC
Wins34
Draws12
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-00-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For4542
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricCearaFortaleza EC
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Ceara and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away2.82 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Betano
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Betano
No1.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ceara = 0.32 (league 1.25), Fortaleza EC = 0.17 (league 0.96)

Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 61.5% 10.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.7% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 64.8% · Away win 11.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1