Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Parque Artigas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.11) 1.63 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.7% 23.0% 68.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.3%
0 - 2
18.1%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Club Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 13.7% 22.3% 18.1% 9.8% 4.0% 1.3%
1 4.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
2 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudClub Nacional
Played44
Form8%58%
Attack30%40%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventud Club Nacional
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%25%
Loses100%50%75%50%0%25%

Form: Juventud: LDLL • Club Nacional: WDWL

League goals

Metric Juventud Club Nacional
HATHAT
GF total033134
GF avg0.01.50.80.51.51.0
GA total246213
GA avg1.02.01.51.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudClub Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%75%
1.525%50%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudClub Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricJuventudClub Nacional
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJuventudClub Nacional
Wins01
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———1-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-1—
Goals For0212
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricJuventudClub Nacional
Form13%88%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals23%77%
Total28.2%72.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Club Nacional and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.20 @ 10Bet
Draw4.82 @ Pinnacle
Away1.46 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Juventud = 0.36 (league 1.11), Club Nacional = 1.63 (league 0.92)

Club Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 13.7% 22.3% 18.1% 9.8% 4.0% 1.3%
1 4.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
2 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% Ā· Draw 23.0% Ā· Away win 68.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1