Figueirense 2-2 Ferroviária: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Figueirense 2-2 Ferroviária: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie C 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 20:00

Figueirense

2 - 2

Ferroviária

🏆 Serie C

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.03

League avg: 0.90

Both

2.20

League avg: 1.90

Away

1.17

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

23%

ELO-based: 36%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 40%

Goal Probability

2.5+

43%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

47%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 113%

1 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Figueirense vs Ferroviária

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Figueirense vs Ferroviária.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Ferroviária
		0	1	2	3	4
Figueirense	0	11.1%	13.0%	7.6%	2.9%	0.9%
	1	11.5%	13.4%	7.8%	3.0%	0.9%
	2	5.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
	3	2.0%	2.4%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%
	4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1540-4

League

1521±0

Away

1557-14

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Figueirense	1540	1545	1528	1539	1586	-4
Ferroviária	1557	1565	1524	1497	1588	-14

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Figueirense	13	15	20	5	5	5	13	18	DDLDW
Ferroviária	6	15	23	6	5	4	15	12	WLLWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Figueirense	5	40%	23%	69%	0.6	0.8
Ferroviária	5	47%	38%	77%	1.0	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Figueirense	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.4	1.0	1.2
Ferroviária	0.9	1.1	1.0	0.6	1.0	0.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Figueirense	0.9	0.9	1.2	1.4
Ferroviária	1.0	1.1	0.8	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		12.50%	11.11%
16-30	7.69%	6.25%	11.11%	9.09%
31-45	15.38%	6.25%	11.11%	18.18%
46-60	7.69%	12.50%	11.11%	27.27%
61-75	30.77%	56.25%	22.22%	9.09%
76-90	38.46%	6.25%	33.33%	36.36%

Team Comparison

46%

Form

54%

38%

Attack

63%

43%

Defense

57%

29%

Poisson

71%

H2H

Goals

39%

Total

61%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Figueirense	2-1	1-2	0-3	3-1	2 / 2	3 / 3
Ferroviária	2-0	1-3	0-2	3-2	2 / 3	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Figueirense	5	1	4	5	3	2
Ferroviária	7	5	2	6	3	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Figueirense	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Ferroviária	1	50.00%	1	50.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-05-26	Figueirense	0 - 1 FT	Ferroviária

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.33	Unibet
Draw	3.00	10Bet
Away win	3.44	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	2.40	Betfair
Under 2.5	1.57	Bet365
BTTS Yes	2.10	Bet365
BTTS No	1.80	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	Figueirense	Emerson Galego	Goal	Normal Goal
89'	Figueirense	Leonan Santos	Card	Yellow Card
89'	Figueirense	Leo Maia	Goal	Normal Goal
80'	Figueirense	Breno	subst	Out: Hyuri
80'	Figueirense	Dudu	subst	Out: L. Renz
80'	Figueirense	Arthur Henrique	subst	Out: Joao Marcos
79'	Ferroviária	Douglas Skilo	Goal	Normal Goal
75'	Ferroviária	Eduardo Oliveira	Card	Yellow Card
73'	Ferroviária	Vitor Barreto	subst	Out: Juninho
73'	Ferroviária	Albano	subst	Out: Lucas Rodrigues
72'	Ferroviária	M. Thiago	subst	Out: Douglas Skilo
71'	Figueirense	Vitor Ricardo	subst	Out: Leo Maia
56'	Figueirense	Renan Areias	subst	Out: Silvinho
52'	Ferroviária	Fau	subst	Out: Rafael Carillho
49'	Ferroviária	Alencar	Card	Yellow Card
49'	Ferroviária	Alencar	Card	Red Card
40'	Ferroviária	Ricardinho	Card	Yellow Card
40'	Figueirense	Igor Bolt	Card	Yellow Card
36'	Ferroviária	Alencar	Card	Yellow Card
20'	Ferroviária	Fau	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie C 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Inter De Limeira Play-offs	1	16	28	8	4	4	20	17	3	WLWWD
Brusque Play-offs	2	15	27	8	3	4	21	15	6	WLWLW
Botafogo PB Play-offs	3	16	26	8	2	6	23	18	5	DWWWW
Guarani Campinas Play-offs	4	15	26	7	5	3	28	15	13	WLDDL
Santa Cruz Play-offs	5	16	25	7	4	5	17	13	4	DLWWW
Ferroviária Play-offs	6	16	24	6	6	4	17	14	3	DDWLL
Paysandu Play-offs	7	15	23	7	2	6	23	21	2	LWLLW
Maringá Play-offs	8	15	23	6	5	4	28	25	3	DWWDD
Ituano	9	16	22	6	4	6	18	17	1	WLLLD
Ypiranga-RS	10	15	21	6	3	6	18	19	-1	WLWDW
Caxias	11	15	21	5	6	4	14	12	2	LDWDD
Floresta	12	15	21	5	6	4	16	15	1	DDDWL
Figueirense	13	16	21	5	6	5	15	20	-5	DWDLD
Amazonas	14	15	20	6	2	7	15	20	-5	WLLLD
Volta Redonda	15	16	18	5	3	8	11	21	-10	LLDLW
Maranhão	16	15	18	4	6	5	11	14	-3	DWLDL
AO Itabaiana	17	15	17	4	5	6	13	18	-5	DWWWL
Barra	18	16	15	3	6	7	17	19	-2	LLLWL
Anápolis Relegation	19	15	12	3	3	9	13	19	-6	WLLDW
Confiança Relegation	20	15	12	3	3	9	9	15	-6	DLLDW