Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.51)
0.21 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.2% | 32.8% | 6.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.6%
0 - 0
26.2%
2 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Paranavaí | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nacional PR | 0 | 26.2% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.6% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 31% |
| Defense | 56% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Nacional PR: DWDDLL • Paranavaí: LLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nacional PR | Paranavaí | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nacional PR | Paranavaí |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paranavaí and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nacional PR = 1.13 (league 1.51), Paranavaí = 0.21 (league 1.00)
| Paranavaí | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nacional PR | 0 | 26.2% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.6% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 6.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1