Novosibirsk 1-0 Kaluga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Novosibirsk 1-0 Kaluga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Second League A - Division A Gold 🌍 Russia

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 09:00

Novosibirsk

1 - 0

Kaluga

🏆 Second League A - Division A Gold

🌍 Russia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.40

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.30

League avg: 2.40

Away

0.90

League avg: 0.90

1X2 Probability

Home

48%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

23%

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

45%

3.5+

26%

BTTS

48%

Best Score Tips

1 - 014%

1 - 113%

0 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Novosibirsk vs Kaluga

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Novosibirsk vs Kaluga.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Kaluga
		0	1	2	3	4
Novosibirsk	0	10.0%	9.0%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%
	1	14.0%	12.6%	5.7%	1.7%	0.4%
	2	9.8%	8.9%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
	3	4.6%	4.1%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
	4	1.6%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1558+15

League

1511±0

Away

1479-10

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Novosibirsk	1558	1579	1570	1614	1571	+15
Kaluga	1479	1472	1495	1465	1528	-10

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Novosibirsk	5	34	52	15	7	12	52	37	WDWWL
Kaluga	—	16	17	4	5	7	14	19	LDLWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Novosibirsk	5	67%	91%	64%	2.0	0.8
Kaluga	5	33%	18%	64%	0.4	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Novosibirsk	2.0	1.1	1.5	0.7	1.5	1.1
Kaluga	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.4	1.0	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Novosibirsk	1.5	2.0	1.1	0.7
Kaluga	0.9	1.0	1.2	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	21.15%	7.14%	21.62%
16-30	9.62%	28.57%	10.81%	10.53%
31-45	17.31%	35.71%	16.22%	15.79%
46-60	11.54%	14.29%	24.32%	26.32%
61-75	21.15%		5.41%	15.79%
76-90	19.23%	14.29%	21.62%	31.58%

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

83%

Attack

17%

Defense

Poisson

H2H

62%

Goals

38%

65%

Total

35%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Novosibirsk	4-0	1-4	0-1	5-1	4 / 4	2 / 5
Kaluga	1-0	0-3	0-2	4-1	3 / 3	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Novosibirsk	9	8	1	9	3	6
Kaluga	5	2	3	7	4	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Novosibirsk	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Kaluga	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-19	Kaluga	1 - 2 FT	Novosibirsk
2025-06-07	Novosibirsk	3 - 0 FT	Kaluga
2025-04-20	Kaluga	2 - 0 FT	Novosibirsk
2024-11-17	Novosibirsk	2 - 0 FT	Kaluga
2024-07-21	Kaluga	2 - 1 FT	Novosibirsk
2021-03-05	Novosibirsk	4 - 1 FT	Kaluga

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.38	Dafabet
Draw	4.30	Dafabet
Away win	9.15	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.70	Marathonbet
Under 2.5	2.01	Marathonbet
BTTS Yes	1.95	Marathonbet
BTTS No	1.74	1xBet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Novosibirsk	D. Kvekveskiri	Card	Yellow Card
90+5'	Novosibirsk	D. Kvekveskiri	Goal	Normal Goal
86'	Kaluga	I. Matyushenko	Card	Yellow Card
85'	Kaluga	I. Sokolov	subst	Out: L. Ivanushkin
85'	Kaluga	I. Matyushenko	subst	Out: A. Kuzmin
82'	Novosibirsk	D. Petrunin	Card	Yellow Card
80'	Novosibirsk	N. Matskharashvili	subst	Out: S. Zapalatskiy
75'	Kaluga	B. Boldyrev	subst	Out: N. Y. Kuzin
75'	Novosibirsk	M. Karaev	Card	Yellow Card
61'	Novosibirsk	D. Pokotylo	subst	Out: D. Yakovlev
54'	Novosibirsk	I. Shmakov	subst	Out: I. Maksimenkov
54'	Novosibirsk	A. Nosov	subst	Out: D. Kvekveskiri
52'	Kaluga	B. Boldyrev	Card	Yellow Card
49'	Novosibirsk	I. Shmakov	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Novosibirsk	D. Redkovich	subst	Out: A. Makurin
46'	Kaluga	I. Grishchenko	subst	Out: I. Osadchiy
46'	Kaluga	D. Daliev	subst	Out: E. Lukinykh
44'	Kaluga	K. Balashov	Card	Red Card
44'	Novosibirsk	D. Redkovich	Card	Yellow Card
23'	Kaluga	A. Polev	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Veles Next group phase	1	18	33	9	6	3	26	12	14	LWLLD
Volgar Astrakhan Next group phase	2	18	32	9	5	4	18	11	7	WWWLW
Tekstilshchik Next group phase	3	18	30	8	6	4	24	16	8	WLWWL
Mashuk-KMV Next group phase	4	18	30	8	6	4	20	17	3	WWWDW
Novosibirsk Next group phase	5	18	24	7	3	8	26	18	8	WLWWD
Leningradets Next group phase	6	18	24	7	3	8	22	25	-3	WWLWL
Tyumen Relegation Playoffs	7	18	23	6	5	7	31	26	5	DDWDW
Dinamo Kirov Relegation Playoffs	8	18	20	5	5	8	20	24	-4	LWLWW
Alaniya Vladikavkaz Relegation Playoffs	9	18	17	5	2	11	19	30	-11	WLLLL
Dinamo Moskva II Relegation Playoffs	10	18	12	1	9	8	9	36	-27	DDLLL