Yelimay Semey 3-1 Irtysh: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Yelimay Semey 3-1 Irtysh: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premier League 🌍 Kazakhstan

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 14:00

Yelimay Semey

3 - 1

Irtysh

🏆 Premier League

🌍 Kazakhstan

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.27

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.31

League avg: 2.40

Away

1.04

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

36%

ELO-based: 42%

Draw

31%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

33%

ELO-based: 34%

Goal Probability

2.5+

46%

3.5+

26%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 013%

0 - 110%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Yelimay Semey vs Irtysh

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Yelimay Semey vs Irtysh.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Irtysh
		0	1	2	3	4
Yelimay Semey	0	9.9%	10.3%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
	1	12.6%	13.1%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
	2	8.0%	8.3%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
	3	3.4%	3.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
	4	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1563+7

League

1525±0

Away

1526±0

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Yelimay Semey	1563	1565	1526	1599	1540	+7
Irtysh	1526	1516	1534	1655	1568	±0

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Yelimay Semey	6	19	28	7	7	5	26	23	WWLDD
Irtysh	15	19	17	3	8	8	19	25	LDLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Yelimay Semey	5	53%	33%	73%	1.0	0.8
Irtysh	5	47%	40%	60%	1.2	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Yelimay Semey	1.2	1.5	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.2
Irtysh	1.1	0.9	1.0	1.3	1.3	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Yelimay Semey	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.2
Irtysh	1.0	0.9	1.3	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.86%	15.00%	19.05%	8.33%
16-30	14.29%	10.00%	14.29%	16.67%
31-45	3.57%	15.00%	14.29%	16.67%
46-60	10.71%	15.00%	14.29%	16.67%
61-75	21.43%	15.00%	14.29%	20.83%
76-90	32.14%	30.00%	23.81%	20.83%

Team Comparison

53%

Form

47%

45%

Attack

55%

Defense

51%

Poisson

49%

H2H

Goals

52%

Total

49%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Yelimay Semey	2-0	1-4	1-3	3-1	2 / 4	3 / 3
Irtysh	3-2	1-2	1-2	2-0	3 / 2	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Yelimay Semey	5	2	3	3	1	2
Irtysh	3	1	2	7	2	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Yelimay Semey	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Irtysh	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-16	Irtysh	2 - 2 FT	Yelimay Semey

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.76	1xBet
Draw	3.73	1xBet
Away win	4.38	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.90	10Bet
Under 2.5	1.95	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.80	William Hill
BTTS No	1.95	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Yelimay Semey	M. Omatay	Card	Yellow Card
90+3'	Irtysh	S. Malikaydar	Card	Yellow Card
90+2'	Yelimay Semey	M. Omatay	Goal	Normal Goal
89'	Yelimay Semey	A. Bakhtiyarov	subst	Out: A. Baigaliyev
88'	Yelimay Semey	F. Placca	subst	Out: M. Omatay
85'	Irtysh	L. Ramos	subst	Out: B. Toleuov
82'	Yelimay Semey	Z. Payruz	subst	Out: A. Zhaksylykov
82'	Irtysh	M. Mbodj	Card	Yellow Card
82'	Irtysh	M. Mbodj	Card	Red Card
80'	Yelimay Semey	A. Bakhtiyarov	Goal	Assist: F. Placca
80'	Irtysh	M. Mbodj	Card	Yellow Card
77'	Irtysh	M. Mittendorfer	Goal	Own Goal
73'	Yelimay Semey	I. Sviridov	Goal	Assist: H. Ilic
70'	Yelimay Semey	H. Ilic	Card	Yellow Card
63'	Irtysh	D. Slambekov	subst	Out: Leonardo Kalil
61'	Yelimay Semey	R. Soto	subst	Out: I. Sviridov
46'	Irtysh	D. Esimbekov	subst	Out: Y. Shimamura
46'	Irtysh	O. A. Falaye	subst	Out: T. Mukhametzhanov
23'	Irtysh	J. Poe	Card	Yellow Card
19'	Yelimay Semey	A. Tyulyubay	Card	Yellow Card
12'	Yelimay Semey	Z. Payruz	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Ordabasy Qualifying	1	21	49	15	4	2	40	15	25	WWLWL
Kairat Almaty Qualifying	2	20	45	13	6	1	39	14	25	WWWWW
FC Astana	3	20	38	11	5	4	33	21	12	WWWWW
Okzhetpes	4	21	33	9	6	6	30	29	1	LWLWL
Aktobe	5	21	32	9	5	7	30	25	5	DLWWL
Yelimay Semey	6	20	31	8	7	5	29	24	5	WDDLW
Ulytau	7	21	28	7	7	7	17	21	-4	DLLDW
Kyzyl-Zhar	8	21	23	6	5	10	25	30	-5	DWWDL
Zhenys	9	20	23	5	8	7	17	23	-6	DLDWL
Kaspiy	10	21	22	6	4	11	22	29	-7	DLWDW
FK Tobol Kostanay	11	20	22	6	4	10	21	28	-7	LWDWL
Atyrau	12	20	20	3	11	6	15	19	-4	DDLLL
Kaisar	13	20	20	3	11	6	15	22	-7	DDLDW
Zhetysu	14	21	19	4	7	10	23	34	-11	LDLLL
Irtysh Relegation	15	20	17	3	8	9	20	28	-8	LWWLD
Altay Relegation	16	21	17	3	8	10	18	32	-14	DLLLW