Colina 5-1 Real San Joaquín: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Colina 5-1 Real San Joaquín: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Segunda División 🌍 Chile

Sun, Jul 12 2026 · 19:30

Colina

5 - 1

Real San Joaquín

🏆 Segunda División

🌍 Chile

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.13

League avg: 0.90

Both

2.66

League avg: 2.30

Away

1.54

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

17%

ELO-based: 43%

Draw

23%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

60%

ELO-based: 33%

Goal Probability

2.5+

49%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

0 - 111%

1 - 29%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Colina vs Real San Joaquín

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Colina vs Real San Joaquín.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Real San Joaquín
		0	1	2	3	4
Colina	0	7.0%	10.7%	8.2%	4.2%	1.6%
	1	7.9%	12.1%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
	2	4.4%	6.8%	5.2%	2.7%	1.0%
	3	1.7%	2.6%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
	4	0.5%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1477-18

League

1487±0

Away

1427-10

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Colina	1477	1470	1499	1509	1509	-18
Real San Joaquín	1427	1422	1480	1452	1411	-10

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Colina	6	11	9	2	3	6	10	13	LLLDL
Real San Joaquín	5	11	13	3	4	4	15	12	DLWDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Colina	5	7%	27%	47%	0.8	1.6
Real San Joaquín	5	33%	60%	60%	1.8	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Colina	1.2	0.7	0.9	1.4	1.0	1.2
Real San Joaquín	0.8	2.0	1.4	1.3	0.8	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Colina	0.9	1.2	1.2	1.4
Real San Joaquín	1.4	2.0	1.1	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		13.33%	14.29%
16-30	11.11%	13.33%	21.43%	8.33%
31-45	22.22%	13.33%	14.29%	25.00%
46-60	11.11%	20.00%	21.43%
61-75	22.22%	20.00%	7.14%	33.33%
76-90	33.33%	20.00%	21.43%	33.33%

Team Comparison

17%

Form

83%

31%

Attack

69%

43%

Defense

57%

25%

Poisson

75%

H2H

Goals

29%

Total

71%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Colina	2-0	0-1	1-2	2-1	2 / 1	2 / 2
Real San Joaquín	3-2	1-6	1-2		3 / 6	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Colina	2	1	1	3	1	2
Real San Joaquín	3	1	2	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Colina	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Real San Joaquín	3	75.00%	1	25.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-10	Real San Joaquín	0 - 1 FT	Colina

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.05	Homepage market
Draw	3.30	Homepage market
Away win	3.10	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.75	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Colina	M. Jimenez	Goal	Normal Goal
86'	Real San Joaquín	I. Munoz	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Colina	M. Ochoa	subst	Out: L. Bejar
77'	Real San Joaquín	I. Farias	subst	Out: L. Lopez
77'	Real San Joaquín	A. Benavente	subst	Out: J. Fica
75'	Colina	C. Evans	subst	Out: G. Harding
75'	Colina	J. Bacca	subst	Out: I. Mesina
75'	Colina	C. Alarcon	subst	Out: J. Bravo
74'	Real San Joaquín	J. Gomez	Goal	Normal Goal
69'	Colina	I. A. Contreras Medina	Goal	Normal Goal
66'	Colina	M. Jimenez	Card	Yellow Card
66'	Real San Joaquín	D. Maureira	subst	Out: R. Abbruzzese
63'	Colina	M. Munoz	subst	Out: M. Jimenez
60'	Colina	C. Evans	Goal	Normal Goal
17'	Colina	L. Naranjo	Goal	Normal Goal
2'	Colina	C. Evans	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Segunda División 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Municipal Salamanca Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs)	1	12	22	5	7	0	11	5	6	WWDWD
Concón National Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs)	2	12	21	6	3	3	16	10	6	WLDWW
Santiago City Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs)	3	12	20	5	5	2	18	19	-1	LWLWD
Trasandino	4	12	18	5	3	4	19	17	2	LWWDW
Real San Joaquín Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs)	5	12	13	3	4	5	16	17	-1	LLDWL
Colina Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs)	6	12	12	3	3	6	15	14	1	WLDLL
Provincial Ovalle Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs)	7	12	6	1	3	8	11	24	-13	WLLDL
Provincial Osorno Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs)	1	12	24	6	6	0	15	5	10	DWDDD
Colchagua Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs)	2	12	22	6	4	2	15	11	4	LLWDD
Linares Unido Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs)	3	12	19	6	1	5	16	12	4	WWWLD
General Velásquez	4	12	16	5	1	6	11	15	-4	WLWWD
Lota Schwager Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs)	5	12	13	3	4	5	11	13	-2	DWLDW
Deportes Rengo Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs)	6	12	11	3	2	7	10	17	-7	LWLLD
Santiago Morning Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs)	7	12	10	2	4	6	9	14	-5	LLDLD