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Smorgon vs Naftan Prediction, Odds & Stats | Friendlies Clubs

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Wed, Mar 4 2026 · 00:00

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Smorgon

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Naftan

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Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.25

League avg: 1.25

Both

2.50

League avg: 2.50

Away

1.25

League avg: 1.25

1X2 Probability

Home

10%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

45%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

45%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

46%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 110%

1 - 010%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Naftan
		0	1	2	3	4
Smorgon	0	8.2%	10.3%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
	1	10.3%	12.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
	2	6.4%	8.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
	3	2.7%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1437+15

League

1523±0

Away

1386-15

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Smorgon	1437	1470	1463	1439	1482	+15
Naftan	1386	1374	1408	1473	1300	-15

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Smorgon	—	2	4	1	1	0	1	0	DW
Naftan	—	5	7	2	1	2	7	7	LLWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Smorgon	2	67%	8%	100%	0.5	0.0
Naftan	5	47%	54%	46%	1.4	1.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Smorgon	0.0	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0
Naftan	3.0	1.0	1.4	0.0	1.8	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Smorgon	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0
Naftan	1.4	1.0	1.4	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60				100.00%
61-75		100.00%
76-90

Team Comparison

36%

Form

64%

13%

Attack

88%

1%

Defense

%

%

Poisson

%

5%

H2H

5%

46%

Goals

54%

36%

Total

64%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Smorgon		0-1			0 / 1	0 / 0
Naftan	3-0	1-2		4-1	3 / 2	0 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Smorgon	2	0	2	1	0	1
Naftan	1	1	0	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Smorgon	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Naftan	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-09-13	Smorgon	1 - 1 FT	Naftan
2025-04-26	Naftan	3 - 1 FT	Smorgon
2024-08-24	Smorgon	1 - 0 FT	Naftan
2024-04-14	Naftan	1 - 1 FT	Smorgon
2023-09-24	Naftan	2 - 2 FT	Smorgon
2023-05-07	Smorgon	1 - 0 FT	Naftan

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	Smorgon		Goal	Normal Goal
67'	Naftan	G. Mafwenta	Goal	Normal Goal
45'	Naftan	A. Lebedev	Goal	Normal Goal
9'	Smorgon		Goal	Normal Goal
7'	Smorgon		Goal	Normal Goal