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Riga Mariners 4-2 Tukums II: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Aug 9 2026 Β· 14:00
FT
πŸ† 1. Liga
🌍 Latvia
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
2.50
League avg: 2.00
Both
3.84
League avg: 3.30
Away
1.33
League avg: 1.30
1X2 Probability
Home
64%
ELO-based: 63%
Draw
21%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
15%
ELO-based: 13%
Goal Probability
2.5+
65%
3.5+
41%
BTTS
61%
Best Score Tips
2 - 19%
3 - 18%
1 - 17%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Riga Mariners vs Tukums II

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Riga Mariners vs Tukums II.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Tukums II
01234
Riga Mariners 0 2.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.4% 7.2% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 6.8% 9.0% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9%
3 5.6% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7%
4 3.5% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
ELO Overview
Home
1673+11
League
1510Β±0
Away
1399-3
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Riga Mariners16731683156218921558+11
Tukums II13991393144214931196-3
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Riga Mariners415329513013WWLDW
Tukums II1015123391941LLWLD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Riga Mariners 5 67% 39% 89% 2.2 0.6
Tukums II 5 27% 14% 46% 0.8 3.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Riga Mariners 1.7 2.3 2.0 1.0 0.8 0.9
Tukums II 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.8 3.9 2.7
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Riga Mariners 2.0 1.7 0.9 1.0
Tukums II 1.3 1.3 2.7 3.9
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 16.67% 5.00% 7.69% 12.50%
16-30 3.33% 10.00% 23.08% 20.00%
31-45 20.00% 20.00% 23.08% 17.50%
46-60 16.67% 15.00% 30.77% 15.00%
61-75 23.33% 10.00% 7.69% 17.50%
76-90 20.00% 40.00% 7.69% 17.50%
Team Comparison
71%
Form
29%
73%
Attack
27%
83%
Defense
17%
81%
Poisson
19%
1%
H2H
%
92%
Goals
8%
8%
Total
2%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Riga Mariners 3-1 0-4 2-1 3 / 4 2 / 2
Tukums II 2-0 1-4 1-4 9-0 2 / 4 4 / 9
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Riga Mariners 6 2 4 0 0 0
Tukums II 2 2 0 2 0 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Riga Mariners 1 50.00% 1 50.00% β€” β€”
Tukums II 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-11 Tukums II 1 - 3 FT Riga Mariners
2025-09-26 Tukums II 0 - 4 FT Riga Mariners
2025-05-17 Riga Mariners 4 - 0 FT Tukums II
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· 1. Liga 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Metta / LU 1 16 41 13 2 1 69 14 55 WDWWW
Valmiera / BSS 2 16 41 13 2 1 44 14 30 WWWWW
Leevon / PPK 3 16 36 11 3 2 27 18 9 WWWWL
Riga Mariners 4 15 32 9 5 1 30 13 17 WDLWW
JDFS Alberts 5 16 28 8 4 4 32 23 9 WDDWL
Super Nova 2 6 16 23 6 5 5 23 23 0 WLDLD
Mārupe 7 16 22 7 1 8 26 25 1 LLWLW
Riga FC II 8 16 20 6 2 8 23 30 -7 LDLWW
Skanste 9 16 19 6 1 9 30 32 -2 WWLLL
Tukums II 10 15 12 3 3 9 19 41 -22 DLWLL
RΔ«gas FS II 11 16 12 3 3 10 22 45 -23 LLWLD
JFK Ventspils 12 16 11 2 5 9 18 28 -10 LLDLW
Smiltene 13 16 10 2 4 10 19 43 -24 LWLWL
RΔ“zekne FA 14 16 5 1 2 13 13 46 -33 LLLLD