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Toluca 0-1 Los Angeles FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
πŸ† Leagues Cup 🌍 World
Sun, Aug 9 2026 Β· 03:10
FT
πŸ† Leagues Cup
🌍 World
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
2.49
League avg: 3.00
Both
2.64
League avg: 5.00
Away
0.15
League avg: 2.00
1X2 Probability
Home
75%
ELO-based: 34%
Draw
21%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
4%
ELO-based: 42%
Goal Probability
2.5+
47%
3.5+
27%
BTTS
38%
Best Score Tips
2 - 022%
3 - 018%
1 - 018%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Toluca vs Los Angeles FC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Toluca vs Los Angeles FC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Los Angeles FC
01234
Toluca 0 7.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1625+7
League
1540Β±0
Away
1657+1
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Toluca16251635158917431625+7
Los Angeles FC16571658155716911653+1
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Tolucaβ€”1310030W
Los Angeles FCβ€”1310021W
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Toluca 1 100% 20% 100% 3.0 0.0
Los Angeles FC 1 100% 13% 93% 2.0 1.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Toluca 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Los Angeles FC 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Toluca 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0
Los Angeles FC 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 33.33%
16-30
31-45 16.67% 20.00%
46-60
61-75 33.33%
76-90 33.33%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
6%
Attack
4%
1%
Defense
%
%
Poisson
%
5%
H2H
5%
71%
Goals
29%
58%
Total
42%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Toluca 3-0 3 / 0 0 / 0
Los Angeles FC 2-1 2 / 0 1 / 0
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Toluca 1 1 0 0 0 0
Los Angeles FC 0 0 0 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Toluca 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Los Angeles FC 5 83.33% 1 16.67% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-07 Toluca 4 - 0 FT Los Angeles FC
2026-04-30 Los Angeles FC 2 - 1 FT Toluca
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.59 Pinnacle
Draw 3.91 Pinnacle
Away win 2.62 Superbet
Over 2.5 1.60 Betano
Under 2.5 2.45 Betfair
BTTS Yes 1.50 10Bet
BTTS No 2.55 Unibet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatTolucaLos Angeles FC
expected_goals β€” β€”
Ball Possession 51% 49%
Total Shots 15 10
Shots on Goal 4 3
Shots off Goal 5 5
Blocked Shots 6 2
Shots insidebox 5 4
Shots outsidebox 10 6
Corner Kicks 5 2
Offsides 1 3
Fouls 16 12
Yellow Cards 2 1
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 2 4
Total passes 506 507
Passes accurate 437 440
Passes % 86% 87%
goals_prevented β€” β€”
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+1' Los Angeles FC E. Segura Goal Normal Goal
84' Los Angeles FC D. Martinez subst Out: J. Shaffelburg
81' Toluca Helinho subst Out: J. Angulo
81' Toluca F. Romero subst Out: E. Gutierrez
73' Toluca V. Guzman subst Out: F. Arce
72' Toluca F. Vinas subst Out: I. Lopez
68' Los Angeles FC Son Heung-Min subst Out: J. Terry
68' Los Angeles FC T. Tillman subst Out: J. Ebobisse
64' Toluca F. Vinas Card Yellow Card
59' Toluca P. Perez subst Out: J. Diaz Price
57' Los Angeles FC A. Long subst Out: R. Porteous
57' Los Angeles FC Y. Cheberko subst Out: E. Segura
56' Toluca E. del Villar Card Yellow Card
30' Los Angeles FC D. Martinez Card Yellow Card