Chicago Fire 3-1 Santos Laguna: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Chicago Fire 3-1 Santos Laguna: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Leagues Cup 🌍 World

Mon, Aug 10 2026 · 00:00

Chicago Fire

3 - 1

Santos Laguna

🏆 Leagues Cup

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.92

League avg: 2.00

Both

3.07

League avg: 2.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

79%

ELO-based: 57%

Draw

18%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 19%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

33%

Best Score Tips

2 - 020%

3 - 019%

4 - 014%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Santos Laguna
		0	1	2	3	4
Chicago Fire	0	4.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	13.6%	2.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	19.8%	3.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	19.3%	2.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	14.1%	2.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1574+32

League

1540±0

Away

1380+10

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Chicago Fire	1574	1625	1516	1634	1490	+32
Santos Laguna	1380	1403	1415	1441	1346	+10

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Chicago Fire	—	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	W
Santos Laguna	—	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	L

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Chicago Fire	1	100%	13%	100%	2.0	0.0
Santos Laguna	1	0%	0%	87%	0.0	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Chicago Fire	2.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Santos Laguna	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	2.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Chicago Fire	2.0	2.0	0.0	0.0
Santos Laguna	0.0	0.0	2.0	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45	50.00%
46-60		50.00%
61-75	50.00%	50.00%
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Chicago Fire	2-0				2 / 0	0 / 0
Santos Laguna				2-0	0 / 0	0 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Chicago Fire	1	1	0	0	0	0
Santos Laguna	0	0	0	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Chicago Fire	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Santos Laguna	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.57	Pinnacle
Draw	4.67	Pinnacle
Away win	5.50	Unibet
Over 2.5	1.44	Betano
Under 2.5	2.95	10Bet
BTTS Yes	1.53	888Sport
BTTS No	2.63	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Chicago Fire	Santos Laguna
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	66%	34%
Total Shots	25	8
Shots on Goal	6	3
Shots off Goal	10	3
Blocked Shots	9	2
Shots insidebox	18	5
Shots outsidebox	7	3
Corner Kicks	7	2
Offsides	2	5
Fouls	12	11
Yellow Cards	2	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	3
Total passes	536	282
Passes accurate	476	225
Passes %	89%	80%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Chicago Fire	J. Waterman	Card	Yellow Card
90+3'	Chicago Fire	R. Lewandowski	Goal	Normal Goal
90'	Chicago Fire	R. Lod	Goal	Assist: A. Saletros
84'	Santos Laguna	S. Mariscal Murra	subst	Out: J. Guemez
84'	Santos Laguna	D. Gonzalez	subst	Out: M. F. Lopez
78'	Santos Laguna	J. Abella	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Chicago Fire	J. Elliott	Card	Yellow Card
72'	Chicago Fire	P. Zinckernagel	Goal	Normal Goal
69'	Chicago Fire	L. Barroso	subst	Out: P. Dithejane
69'	Chicago Fire	M. Pineda	subst	Out: R. Lod
68'	Santos Laguna	F. Villalba	subst	Out: D. Medina
62'	Santos Laguna	E. Aguirre	subst	Out: L. Di Yorio
62'	Santos Laguna	M. Cuevas	subst	Out: J. Abella
56'	Santos Laguna	Renato Paiva	Card	Yellow Card
54'	Santos Laguna	E. Bullaude	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Chicago Fire	R. Turdean	subst	Out: S. Oregel
46'	Chicago Fire	J. Bamba	subst	Out: P. Zinckernagel
46'	Chicago Fire	V. Radojevic	subst	Out: A. Gutman
28'	Santos Laguna	S. Mariscal Murra	Card	Yellow Card
20'	Santos Laguna	E. Bullaude	Goal	Normal Goal