Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:30 •
Miguel Morales
Expected Goals
5.71 (league 1.31)
2.06 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
best score tips
5 - 2
4.5%
5 - 1
4.4%
4 - 2
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
| El Linqueño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Douglas Haig | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 43% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Douglas Haig: WWW • El Linqueño: WLW
League goals
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Douglas Haig | El Linqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Douglas Haig and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Douglas Haig = 5.71 (league 1.31), El Linqueño = 2.06 (league 0.73)
| El Linqueño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Douglas Haig | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 5.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1