Independiente De Chivilcoy 1-0 El Linqueño: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Independiente De Chivilcoy 1-0 El Linqueño: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Torneo Federal A 🌍 Argentina

Sat, May 9 2026 · 18:30

Independiente De Chivilcoy

1 - 0

El Linqueño

🏆 Torneo Federal A

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.60

League avg: 1.30

Both

2.60

League avg: 2.20

Away

1.00

League avg: 0.90

1X2 Probability

Home

54%

ELO-based: 39%

Draw

22%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

24%

ELO-based: 37%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

72%

Best Score Tips

1 - 012%

1 - 112%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		El Linqueño
		0	1	2	3	4
Independiente De Chivilcoy	0	7.4%	7.4%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
	1	11.9%	11.9%	5.9%	2.0%	0.5%
	2	9.5%	9.5%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
	3	5.1%	5.1%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1480-27

League

1499±0

Away

1468-24

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Independiente De Chivilcoy	1480	1475	1524	1450	1523	-27
El Linqueño	1468	1453	1457	1431	1543	-24

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Independiente De Chivilcoy	5	7	10	3	1	3	9	9	WWDLL
El Linqueño	8	7	8	2	2	3	6	10	WLLDD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Independiente De Chivilcoy	5	47%	45%	55%	1.0	1.0
El Linqueño	5	33%	36%	36%	0.8	1.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Independiente De Chivilcoy	1.5	1.0	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3
El Linqueño	1.0	0.7	0.9	1.3	1.7	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Independiente De Chivilcoy	1.3	1.5	1.3	1.3
El Linqueño	0.9	0.7	1.4	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		16.67%	11.11%
16-30	22.22%	16.67%	33.33%	20.00%
31-45	22.22%	16.67%	22.22%	30.00%
46-60	22.22%	33.33%	11.11%	10.00%
61-75	22.22%		22.22%	20.00%
76-90	11.11%	16.67%		20.00%

Team Comparison

58%

Form

42%

56%

Attack

44%

58%

Defense

42%

66%

Poisson

34%

25%

H2H

75%

33%

Goals

67%

49%

Total

51%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Independiente De Chivilcoy	3-0	0-1	0-3	3-2	3 / 2	3 / 3
El Linqueño	2-1		0-3	3-1	2 / 1	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Independiente De Chivilcoy	2	1	1	2	1	1
El Linqueño	1	1	0	2	1	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Independiente De Chivilcoy	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
El Linqueño	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-05-24	El Linqueño	3 - 1 FT	Independiente De Chivilcoy
2025-03-23	Independiente De Chivilcoy	2 - 2 FT	El Linqueño
2024-08-18	El Linqueño	0 - 0 FT	Independiente De Chivilcoy
2024-05-25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	0 - 1 FT	El Linqueño
2024-03-31	El Linqueño	0 - 0 FT	Independiente De Chivilcoy
2023-10-08	Independiente De Chivilcoy	3 - 2 FT	El Linqueño

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
81'	El Linqueño		Card	Yellow Card
64'	Independiente De Chivilcoy		Goal	Normal Goal
59'	Independiente De Chivilcoy		Card	Yellow Card
49'	Independiente De Chivilcoy	L. Cisnero	Card	Red Card
49'	Independiente De Chivilcoy		Card	Yellow Card
46'	Independiente De Chivilcoy		Card	Yellow Card
38'	El Linqueño		Card	Yellow Card
32'	El Linqueño		Card	Yellow Card
18'	El Linqueño		Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Torneo Federal A 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Douglas Haig Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	1	9	22	7	1	1	15	7	8	LWDWW
9 de Julio Rafaela Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	2	9	17	5	2	2	17	9	8	WDWLW
Sportivo Belgrano Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	3	9	16	4	4	1	13	4	9	WWWDL
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	4	9	14	4	2	3	9	7	2	WLDWW
Independiente De Chivilcoy Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	5	9	13	4	1	4	10	10	0	LWLLD
Defensores de Belgrano VR Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	6	9	12	3	3	3	13	13	0	LDLWD
Sportivo Las Parejas Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	7	9	9	2	3	4	5	9	-4	WLDLW
El Linqueño Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	8	9	9	2	3	4	6	11	-5	DLDDL
Atletico Escobar Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	9	9	7	2	1	6	11	21	-10	LLWWL
Gimnasia Concepción Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	10	9	5	1	2	6	6	14	-8	DWLLL
Sol de América Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	1	8	16	5	1	2	11	4	7	WWWLW
Bartolomé Mitre Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	2	8	15	4	3	1	8	3	5	WWDWD
San Martin Formosa Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	3	8	14	4	2	2	12	9	3	LWWWD
Juventud Antoniana Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	4	8	11	3	2	3	7	8	-1	DLLWL
Defensores de Vilelas Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	5	8	10	3	1	4	12	13	-1	LWLLD
Tucuman Central Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	6	8	10	3	1	4	6	9	-3	LWLDL
Boca Unidos Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	7	8	9	2	3	3	10	10	0	DLDWD
Sarmiento Resistencia Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	8	8	6	0	6	2	7	12	-5	LDDDD
Sarmiento de La Banda Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	9	8	6	1	3	4	6	11	-5	WLLDD
Atenas Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	1	8	16	5	1	2	9	7	2	WWLWW
Juventud Unida Univ. Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	2	8	12	3	3	2	8	5	3	LWLWD
Argentino Monte Maíz Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	3	8	12	3	3	2	8	5	3	WLWWD
Deportivo Rincon Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	4	8	12	3	3	2	9	8	1	WDWLL
Cipolletti Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	5	8	11	3	2	3	10	10	0	LLWWD
Huracan Las Heras Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	6	8	10	2	4	2	5	6	-1	LDWWD
Fundacion Amigos Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	7	8	9	2	3	3	10	11	-1	WDWLL
Costa Brava Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	8	8	7	1	4	3	6	6	0	LLDLD
San Martín Mendoza Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	9	8	6	1	3	4	3	10	-7	LDLDL
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	1	8	20	6	2	0	8	0	8	DWDWW
Kimberley Mar del Plata Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	2	8	13	3	4	1	6	4	2	WDWLD
Alvarado Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	3	8	12	3	3	2	7	4	3	WLDWD
Sol de Mayo Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)	4	8	10	2	4	2	5	4	1	LDDWL
Germinal de Rawson Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	5	8	10	2	4	2	5	5	0	DLWDW
Villa Mitre Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	6	8	9	2	3	3	5	5	0	WLDDD
Santamarina Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	7	8	8	1	5	2	6	7	-1	DLDDW
Guillermo Brown Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	8	8	6	1	3	4	8	13	-5	DWDLL
Circulo Deportivo Torneo Federal (Losers stage)	9	8	5	1	2	5	3	11	-8	LDDLL