Sun, May 10 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Sol De Mayo
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.29)
0.20 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 29.8% | 5.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.2%
0 - 0
23.4%
2 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Circulo Deportivo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sol de Mayo | 0 | 23.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.2% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Sol de Mayo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sol de Mayo +15.7, Circulo Deportivo -26.1.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Sol de Mayo
vs
Circulo Deportivo
Elo gapSol de Mayo +72
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2933.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2933.1
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1484.9 | 1448.2 |
| Form Elo | 1495.3 | 1421.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.2 | 1470.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1439.3 | 1398.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1485.4 | 1522.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.7 | -26.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sol de Mayo last-5 Elo change: +15.7; Circulo Deportivo last-5 Elo change: -26.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 27% |
| Defense | 91% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
Sol de MayoDWDLWD
Circulo DeportivoLWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 33% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sol de Mayo | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 64.4% | 35.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away5.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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