Vitória da Conquista U20 vs Porto BA U20

Baiano U20 — Brazil

Sun, May 10 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Vitória da Conquista U20

—

Porto BA U20

Expected Goals

1.13 (league 1.70) 0.42 (league 1.14)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
53.5%	32.6%	13.8%

best score tips

1 - 0

24.0%

0 - 0

21.3%

2 - 0

13.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Porto BA U20
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Vitória da Conquista U20	0	21.3%	9.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	24.0%	10.1%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	13.5%	5.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	5.1%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Vitória da Conquista U20 +45.0, Porto BA U20 +32.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Vitória da Conquista U20 Elo 1525 · +45.0

Porto BA U20 Elo 1546 · +32.4

Elo gapVitória da Conquista U20 +14

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo3071

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3071

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20	Porto BA U20
Overall Elo	1525	1546
Form Elo	1553	1570.4
Home / Away Elo	1506.7	1520.5
Attack Elo	1534.3	1512.3
Defense Elo	1549.9	1555.4
Last 5 Elo change	+45.0	+32.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Vitória da Conquista U20 last-5 Elo change: +45.0; Porto BA U20 last-5 Elo change: +32.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20	Porto BA U20
Played	5	5
Form	80%	100%
Attack	50%	68%
Defense	91%	77%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	15 \| 3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

66%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20			Porto BA U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	5	10	5	5	10
Wins	60%	60%	60%	80%	80%	80%
Draws	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%
Loses	20%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%

Vitória da Conquista U20WWLDDWLWWW

Porto BA U20WDWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20			Porto BA U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	9	17	13	12	25
GF avg	1.6	1.8	1.7	2.6	2.4	2.5
GA total	1	4	5	5	6	11
GA avg	0.2	0.8	0.5	1.0	1.2	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Vitória da Conquista U20		Porto BA U20
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	80%	30%	100%	80%
1.5	50%	20%	80%	30%
2.5	20%	0%	40%	0%
3.5	10%	0%	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%	10%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20			Porto BA U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	3	7	1	1	2
Failed to score	2	0	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20	Porto BA U20
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20	Porto BA U20
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	0-3	4-1	2-5
Biggest losses	0-1	2-1	—	—
Goals For	5	3	4	5
Goals Against	1	2	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20	Porto BA U20
Form	44%	56%
Att	42%	58%
Def	71%	29%
Poisson Distribution	74%	26%
H2h	13%	88%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	47.3%	52.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Vitória da Conquista U20 vs Porto BA U20

Metric	Vitória da Conquista U20	Porto BA U20
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0