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Sarasota Paradise 0-5 Miami FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Jul 11 2026 Β· 23:30
FT
🌍 USA
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.18
League avg: 0.70
Both
3.52
League avg: 2.70
Away
2.34
League avg: 2.00
1X2 Probability
Home
25%
ELO-based: 32%
Draw
26%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
49%
ELO-based: 44%
Goal Probability
2.5+
51%
3.5+
30%
BTTS
51%
Best Score Tips
1 - 210%
1 - 18%
0 - 28%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Miami FC
01234
Sarasota Paradise 0 3.0% 6.9% 8.1% 6.3% 3.7%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.6% 7.4% 4.3%
2 2.1% 4.8% 5.7% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
ELO Overview
Home
1442-19
League
1502Β±0
Away
1494+4
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Sarasota Paradise14421412147814341413-19
Miami FC14941516150914941490+4
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Sarasota Paradise43310224LLW
Miami FC23620165WWL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Sarasota Paradise 3 33% 20% 60% 0.7 1.3
Miami FC 3 67% 60% 50% 2.0 1.7
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Sarasota Paradise 0.0 1.0 0.7 2.0 1.0 1.3
Miami FC 2.5 1.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 1.7
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Sarasota Paradise 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.0
Miami FC 2.0 1.0 1.7 0.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 50.00% 50.00% 20.00%
16-30 16.67% 20.00%
31-45 50.00% 20.00%
46-60 16.67% 25.00% 20.00%
61-75 20.00%
76-90 50.00% 16.67% 25.00%
Team Comparison
33%
Form
67%
25%
Attack
75%
56%
Defense
44%
%
Poisson
1%
%
H2H
%
%
Goals
%
38%
Total
62%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Sarasota Paradise 0-2 0-2 2-0 0 / 2 2 / 2
Miami FC 4-1 0-1 1-4 4 / 1 4 / 0
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Sarasota Paradise 1 0 1 2 1 1
Miami FC 1 0 1 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Sarasota Paradise 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Miami FC 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 4.20 BetVictor
Draw 3.90 Bet365
Away win 1.83 Bet365
Over 2.5 1.65 Bet365
Under 2.5 2.20 10Bet
BTTS Yes 1.60 BetVictor
BTTS No 2.20 10Bet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
16' Miami FC M. Tunbridge Goal Penalty
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· USL League One Cup 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Hartford Athletic Playoffs 1 3 7 2 1 1 9 5 4 WWL
Brooklyn 2 3 6 2 0 1 8 3 5 WLW
Rhode Island 3 3 5 1 1 1 8 5 3 WLW
Portland Hearts of Pine 4 3 4 1 1 1 9 13 -4 LWL
NY Cosmos 5 3 3 1 0 2 4 9 -5 LWL
Westchester SC 6 3 2 1 1 2 9 12 -3 LLW
Tampa Bay Rowdies Playoffs 1 3 9 3 0 0 8 1 7 WWW
Miami FC 2 3 6 2 0 1 6 5 1 LWW
Sporting JAX 3 4 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 LLWL
Sarasota Paradise 4 3 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 WLL
Naples 5 3 2 1 1 2 5 8 -3 LWL
Tormenta 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 β€”
Charleston Battery Playoffs 1 3 8 3 1 0 10 3 7 WWW
Charlotte Independence 2 2 5 2 1 0 7 4 3 WW
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3 3 5 1 2 2 8 9 -1 LLW
Loudoun United 4 3 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 LWL
Greenville Triumph 5 2 3 1 0 1 3 4 -1 WL
Richmond Kickers 6 3 0 0 0 3 1 8 -7 LLL
Sacramento Republic Playoffs 1 3 8 3 1 0 11 4 7 WWW
Spokane Velocity 2 3 6 2 0 1 3 5 -2 WWL
Boise 3 3 5 1 1 1 10 8 2 LWW
Oakland Roots 4 3 4 1 1 1 6 6 0 WLL
Monterey Bay 5 3 3 1 2 2 12 14 -2 LLW
Las Vegas Lights 6 3 1 0 1 2 3 8 -5 LLL
Colorado Springs Playoffs 1 3 9 3 0 0 7 1 6 WWW
El Paso Locomotive 2 3 6 2 0 1 5 3 2 LWW
New Mexico United 3 3 6 2 0 1 6 5 1 WLW
Alta 4 3 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 WLL
Phoenix Rising 5 3 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 LWL
Orange County SC 6 3 0 0 0 3 3 6 -3 LLL
San Antonio Playoffs 1 3 8 2 1 0 6 2 4 WWW
Birmingham Legion 2 3 6 1 2 1 8 6 2 WWL
One Knoxville 3 3 4 2 2 1 10 9 1 DLW
FC Tulsa 4 3 4 1 1 1 5 6 -1 LWL
Corpus Christi 5 3 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 LLW
Chattanooga Red Wolves 6 3 2 0 2 3 8 11 -3 DLL
Louisville City Playoffs 1 2 6 2 0 0 8 2 6 WW
Union Omaha 2 3 6 2 0 1 7 8 -1 WLW
Lexington 3 2 5 2 1 0 8 4 4 WW
Indy Eleven 4 3 5 1 1 1 8 5 3 WWL
Detroit City 5 2 4 1 1 1 3 4 -1 LW
Fort Wayne 6 3 1 0 1 2 6 12 -6 LLL
Forward Madison 7 3 0 0 0 3 2 7 -5 LLL