Bundesliga
— Austria
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:30 •
Merkur-Arena
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.46)
1.46 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.4% | 26.1% | 45.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lask Linz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sturm Graz | 0 | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 75% | 83% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 64% | 52% | 57% | 38% | 48% |
| Draws | 23% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
| Loses | 38% | 21% | 30% | 21% | 38% | 30% |
Sturm GrazWLWWLWWWWLLDLWLWLWLWDWWDWDD
Lask LinzLLWLLLWLDWWWWWWDWWDLDWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 29 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 59% | 81% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 33% | 48% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.60 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ BetVictor
Away2.11 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…