Sat, May 16 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.39)
2.15 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.9% | 20.4% | 56.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Trepça'89 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Istogu | 0 | 3.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Trepça'89 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Istogu -8.5, Trepça'89 +24.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Istogu
vs
Trepça'89
Elo gapTrepça'89 +100
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo3018.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3018.9
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1442.1 | 1576.8 |
| Form Elo | 1443 | 1589.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1479.2 | 1539 |
| Attack Elo | 1537.1 | 1550.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1407.7 | 1565 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.5 | +24.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Istogu last-5 Elo change: -8.5; Trepça'89 last-5 Elo change: +24.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 59% | 71% |
| Defense | 24% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 31% | 13% | 22% | 75% | 38% | 56% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
| Loses | 38% | 56% | 47% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
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Trepça'89DWDLDWDWWDWWDWLWWWWWWLLDDWDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 15 | 42 | 37 | 25 | 62 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 23 | 31 | 54 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Istogu | Trepça'89 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 81% | 91% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 44% | 53% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 28% | 19% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 6% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 4-7 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Istogu | Trepça'89 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 28% | 72% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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