Sat, May 16 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.39)
2.16 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 18.8% | 66.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vëllaznimi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KEK-u | 0 | 5.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Vëllaznimi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 157 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: KEK-u -28.2, Vëllaznimi +32.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
KEK-u
vs
Vëllaznimi
Elo gapVëllaznimi +157
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo2978.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2978.2
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1393 | 1585.2 |
| Form Elo | 1366.7 | 1613.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1460 | 1524.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1380.2 | 1528.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1414 | 1575.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -28.2 | +32.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. KEK-u last-5 Elo change: -28.2; Vëllaznimi last-5 Elo change: +32.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 87% |
| Attack | 35% | 53% |
| Defense | 12% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 31% | 25% | 28% | 25% | 19% | 22% |
| Loses | 44% | 75% | 59% | 0% | 31% | 16% |
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League goals
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 24 | 36 | 60 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 88% | 81% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 50% | 50% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 28% | 28% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KEK-u | Vëllaznimi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 7% | 93% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 23.3% | 76.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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