Liga E Pare
— Kosovo
Sat, May 16 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.39)
1.08 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Suhareka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liria Prizren | 0 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Liria Prizren carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 170 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Liria Prizren +12.5, Suhareka +2.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Liria Prizren
vs
Suhareka
Elo gapLiria Prizren +170
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3010.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3010.4
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1572.5 | 1437.9 |
| Form Elo | 1575.7 | 1441.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.3 | 1472.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1521.8 | 1506.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1596.5 | 1384.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.5 | +2.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Liria Prizren last-5 Elo change: +12.5; Suhareka last-5 Elo change: +2.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 53% | 65% |
| Defense | 76% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 69% | 50% | 59% | 44% | 31% | 38% |
| Draws | 19% | 31% | 25% | 25% | 6% | 16% |
| Loses | 13% | 19% | 16% | 31% | 63% | 47% |
Liria PrizrenWLWDWDDLWDDWDWWWWWLWWWLDWDWWWLWW
SuharekaWLLLWLWWDDWWDLLLWLDLDLLWWWLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 22 | 51 | 27 | 25 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 22 | 32 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Liria Prizren | Suhareka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 53% | 72% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 19% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 6% | 25% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Liria Prizren | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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