Liga E Pare — Kosovo
Sat, May 16 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.39) 0.63 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.0% 24.3% 14.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kika
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tefik Canga 0 10.6% 6.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Tefik Canga -10.8, Kika -32.9.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Tefik Canga Elo 1394 · -10.8
vs
Kika Elo 1424.1 · -32.9
Elo gapTefik Canga +5
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2818.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2818.1
Elo home share 51%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Tefik Canga Kika
Overall Elo13941424.1
Form Elo1380.31403.7
Home / Away Elo1459.61465
Attack Elo1447.81382.5
Defense Elo1436.31497.6
Last 5 Elo change-10.8-32.9

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Tefik Canga last-5 Elo change: -10.8; Kika last-5 Elo change: -32.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTefik CangaKika
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack41%6%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tefik Canga Kika
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins44%25%34%44%13%28%
Draws6%19%13%13%25%19%
Loses50%56%53%44%63%53%
Tefik CangaDWLWWWWLWDWLLLWLLLWLLLDLLLLDWWLL
KikaWLLWDDLLWDLLLWLWDLDLWDWWWLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Tefik Canga Kika
HATHAT
GF total24204417825
GF avg1.51.31.41.10.50.8
GA total212748172441
GA avg1.31.71.51.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTefik CangaKika
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%50%69%
1.544%44%25%34%
2.516%16%3%22%
3.53%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTefik CangaKika
HATHAT
Clean sheets2246410
Failed to score44861016

Penalties

MetricTefik CangaKika
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTefik CangaKika
Wins43
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-10-2
Biggest losses3-43-00-43-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricTefik CangaKika
Form100%0%
Att88%13%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total60.5%39.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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