Liga E Pare
— Kosovo
Sat, May 16 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.39)
0.85 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | 28.2% | 23.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ramiz Sadiku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vushtrria | 0 | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vushtrria carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 90 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vushtrria -14.9, Ramiz Sadiku -6.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vushtrria
vs
Ramiz Sadiku
Elo gapVushtrria +90
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3076.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3076.6
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1565.8 | 1510.8 |
| Form Elo | 1564.5 | 1494.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1561.3 | 1519.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1510.1 | 1485.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1620 | 1570.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.9 | -6.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vushtrria last-5 Elo change: -14.9; Ramiz Sadiku last-5 Elo change: -6.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 41% | 41% |
| Defense | 88% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 56% | 31% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 28% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 19% | 9% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
VushtrriaDWWDWDLWWDWWWWWLWWDWLWWWDWDDDWWW
Ramiz SadikuWDWDDLDWDWDLWWWWLDWWWWLDLLLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 22 | 58 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 56% | 66% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 19% | 38% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 3% | 16% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vushtrria | Ramiz Sadiku |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 56.6% | 43.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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