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Lota Schwager 2-2 Provincial Osorno: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Jul 12 2026 Β· 19:30
FT
🌍 Chile
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.15
League avg: 0.80
Both
0.72
League avg: 1.80
Away
0.57
League avg: 1.00
1X2 Probability
Home
15%
ELO-based: 30%
Draw
46%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
39%
ELO-based: 46%
Goal Probability
2.5+
23%
3.5+
11%
BTTS
29%
Best Score Tips
0 - 049%
0 - 128%
0 - 28%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Lota Schwager vs Provincial Osorno

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Lota Schwager vs Provincial Osorno.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Provincial Osorno
01234
Lota Schwager 0 48.6% 27.8% 7.9% 1.5% 0.2%
1 7.3% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1485+22
League
1487Β±0
Away
1561+8
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Lota Schwager14851480148114661519+22
Provincial Osorno15611574151015761551+8
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Lota Schwager51112335911DWDLW
Provincial Osorno11020550103DDDDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Lota Schwager 5 53% 40% 73% 1.2 0.8
Provincial Osorno 5 47% 27% 93% 0.8 0.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Lota Schwager 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.8 1.0
Provincial Osorno 1.3 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.3
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Lota Schwager 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.2
Provincial Osorno 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 11.11% 30.00% 20.00%
16-30 22.22% 10.00%
31-45 20.00% 30.00%
46-60 33.33% 10.00% 10.00% 33.33%
61-75 11.11% 10.00% 10.00% 33.33%
76-90 22.22% 30.00% 20.00% 33.33%
Team Comparison
53%
Form
47%
6%
Attack
4%
2%
Defense
8%
%
Poisson
1%
%
H2H
1%
%
Goals
1%
44%
Total
56%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Lota Schwager 1-0 0-2 0-2 2-1 1 / 2 2 / 2
Provincial Osorno 3-0 0-1 3 / 1 2 / 0
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Lota Schwager 3 1 2 3 2 1
Provincial Osorno 8 4 4 3 1 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Lota Schwager 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Provincial Osorno 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-09 Provincial Osorno 1 - 0 FT Lota Schwager
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.80 Homepage market
Draw 3.10 Homepage market
Away win 2.30 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.57 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+6' Lota Schwager B. Hermosilla Goal Normal Goal
87' Provincial Osorno D. Bielkiewicz Goal Normal Goal
77' Lota Schwager S. Torres Goal Normal Goal
73' Lota Schwager G. Navarrete subst Out: M. Zambrana
70' Lota Schwager J. Reyes Card Red Card
68' Provincial Osorno J. Arias subst Out: G. Castro
68' Provincial Osorno S. Namoncura subst Out: D. Pino
67' Provincial Osorno I. Pacheco Card Yellow Card
60' Lota Schwager P. Fuentes subst Out: L. Pontigo
60' Lota Schwager A. Ambiado subst Out: S. Torres
58' Lota Schwager P. Fuentes Card Yellow Card
54' Provincial Osorno J. Arias Goal Normal Goal
46' Lota Schwager C. Jopia Arias subst Out: L. Quiroga
46' Lota Schwager C. Salas subst Out: J. J. Contreras
45' Provincial Osorno D. Bielkiewicz Card Yellow Card
40' Lota Schwager A. Ambiado Card Yellow Card
37' Provincial Osorno J. Gutierrez Card Yellow Card
36' Lota Schwager C. Jopia Arias Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Segunda DivisiΓ³n 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Municipal Salamanca Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs) 1 12 22 5 7 0 11 5 6 WWDWD
ConcΓ³n National Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 12 21 6 3 3 16 10 6 WLDWW
Santiago City Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 12 20 5 5 2 18 19 -1 LWLWD
Trasandino 4 12 18 5 3 4 19 17 2 LWWDW
Real San JoaquΓ­n Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs) 5 12 13 3 4 5 16 17 -1 LLDWL
Colina Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs) 6 12 12 3 3 6 15 14 1 WLDLL
Provincial Ovalle Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs) 7 12 6 1 3 8 11 24 -13 WLLDL
Provincial Osorno Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs) 1 12 24 6 6 0 15 5 10 DWDDD
Colchagua Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 12 22 6 4 2 15 11 4 LLWDD
Linares Unido Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 12 19 6 1 5 16 12 4 WWWLD
General VelΓ‘squez 4 12 16 5 1 6 11 15 -4 WLWWD
Lota Schwager Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs) 5 12 13 3 4 5 11 13 -2 DWLDW
Deportes Rengo Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs) 6 12 11 3 2 7 10 17 -7 LWLLD
Santiago Morning Segunda Division (Relegation - Play Offs) 7 12 10 2 4 6 9 14 -5 LLDLD