Ahal 1-0 Şagadam: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Ahal 1-0 Şagadam: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Ýokary Liga 🌍 Turkmenistan

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 13:00

Ahal

1 - 0

Şagadam

🏆 Ýokary Liga

🌍 Turkmenistan

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.77

League avg: 1.40

Both

1.62

League avg: 2.40

Away

0.86

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

26%

ELO-based: 58%

Draw

37%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

37%

ELO-based: 18%

Goal Probability

2.5+

38%

3.5+

20%

BTTS

39%

Best Score Tips

0 - 020%

0 - 117%

1 - 015%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Ahal vs Şagadam

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Ahal vs Şagadam.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Şagadam
		0	1	2	3	4
Ahal	0	19.8%	16.9%	7.2%	2.1%	0.4%
	1	15.1%	13.0%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%
	2	5.8%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	1.5%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1632+10

League

1498±0

Away

1432-26

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Ahal	1632	1649	1528	1595	1616	+10
Şagadam	1432	1415	1476	1366	1519	-26

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Ahal	—	11	21	6	3	2	15	7	WWWLW
Şagadam	—	11	12	3	3	5	11	16	DDLDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Ahal	5	80%	65%	71%	2.2	1.0
Şagadam	5	20%	12%	59%	0.4	1.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Ahal	0.4	2.2	1.4	0.8	0.5	0.6
Şagadam	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.7	1.2	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Ahal	1.4	0.4	0.6	0.8
Şagadam	1.0	1.0	1.5	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

85%

Attack

15%

58%

Defense

42%

Poisson

58%

85%

H2H

15%

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Ahal	1-0	0-4	0-4	1-0	1 / 4	4 / 1
Şagadam	2-0	1-3	1-4	2-0	2 / 3	4 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Ahal	7	4	3	5	3	2
Şagadam	4	2	2	4	1	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Ahal	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Şagadam	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-26	Şagadam	1 - 3 FT	Ahal
2025-12-01	Ahal	1 - 0 FT	Şagadam
2025-11-07	Şagadam	0 - 0 FT	Ahal
2025-05-30	Ahal	1 - 1 FT	Şagadam
2025-04-03	Şagadam	1 - 2 FT	Ahal
2024-11-30	Şagadam	1 - 4 FT	Ahal

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.