Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 0.89)
0.83 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 38.2% | 39.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
0 - 1
21.1%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Negelle Arsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sheger Ketema | 0 | 25.5% | 21.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 15% | 31% | 23% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| Draws | 62% | 38% | 50% | 38% | 31% | 35% |
| Loses | 23% | 31% | 27% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
Sheger KetemaLDWDWLDWLLLLDDDDDWDDDDWWLD
Negelle ArsiDLLDDWWDWLWWWWDLWWWDLDDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 58% | 65% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 27% | 27% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.50 @ Unibet
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away2.46 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.80 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ BetVictor
No1.66 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sheger Ketema
vs
Negelle Arsi
Expected goals
0.54
Sheger Ketema xG
League Avg: 0.89
Total
1.37
0.83
Negelle Arsi xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
22.2%
Draw
38.2%
Away
39.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
25.5%
Tip
0 - 1
21.1%
Tip
1 - 0
13.8%
More chances
1.5+
48%
Chance
2.5+
34%
Chance
3.5+
24%
Chance
BTTS
53%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sheger Ketema = 0.54 (league 0.89), Negelle Arsi = 0.83 (league 0.97)
| Negelle Arsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sheger Ketema | 0 | 25.5% | 21.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 39.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1