Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 0.88)
1.08 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 32.6% | 46.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Kedus Giorgis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 18.2% | 19.7% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 31% |
| Defense | 38% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 0% | 31% | 15% | 33% | 31% | 32% |
| Draws | 38% | 38% | 38% | 42% | 15% | 28% |
| Loses | 62% | 31% | 46% | 25% | 54% | 40% |
Form: Arba Minch Kenema: DDLLDLDLDLLDDDLLLWDDWLWLWL • Kedus Giorgis: WWLWWLLWLDDDDLWLDLDLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 73% | 52% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 27% | 16% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 15% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Kedus Giorgis
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Unibet
Away2.42 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ William Hill
No1.58 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arba Minch Kenema
vs
Kedus Giorgis
Expected goals
0.62
Arba Minch Kenema xG
League Avg: 0.88
Total
1.71
1.08
Kedus Giorgis xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
21.0%
Draw
32.6%
Away
46.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
19.7%
Tip
0 - 0
18.2%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
More chances
1.5+
53%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
57%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arba Minch Kenema = 0.62 (league 0.88), Kedus Giorgis = 1.08 (league 0.97)
| Kedus Giorgis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 18.2% | 19.7% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 46.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1