Premier League
— Malta
Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 18:30 •
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.27)
1.70 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0% | 24.0% | 52.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Zabbar St. Patrick | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mosta | 0 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 46% | 77% |
| Defense | 23% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| Wins | 14% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 19% |
| Draws | 36% | 0% | 19% | 33% | 47% | 41% |
| Loses | 50% | 77% | 63% | 50% | 33% | 41% |
Form: Mosta: LWLDLLLLDWWLDLDWLLLLLDLLLLW • Zabbar St. Patrick: LDDLDLWLDLWDDDLWLLLLLDDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 24 | 26 | 50 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 81% | 74% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 48% | 30% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 26% | 11% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 19% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-3 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Zabbar St. Patrick
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 1.04 (league 1.27), Zabbar St. Patrick = 1.70 (league 1.20)
| Zabbar St. Patrick | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mosta | 0 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 52.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1