Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 19:00 •
Emirates Stadium
Expected Goals
3.38 (league 1.82)
0.52 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
11.5%
4 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal | 0 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 67% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 83% | 91% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
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Sporting CPWLWDWLWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arsenal | Sporting CP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 36% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 82% | 9% | 55% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 0% | 36% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arsenal | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 67.2% | 32.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.75 @ 188Bet
Away6.70 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arsenal
vs
Sporting CP
Expected goals
3.38
Arsenal xG
League Avg: 1.82
Total
3.91
0.52
Sporting CP xG
League Avg: 1.37
1x2 probabilities
Home
76.9%
Draw
7.5%
Away
2.9%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
13.0%
Tip
2 - 0
11.5%
Tip
4 - 0
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
94%
Chance
2.5+
66%
Chance
3.5+
47%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 3.38 (league 1.82), Sporting CP = 0.52 (league 1.37)
| Sporting CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal | 0 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 7.5% · Away win 2.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1