Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 19:00 •
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.87)
1.93 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.0%
3 - 2
5.8%
4 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Barcelona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 31% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 83% | 29% | 54% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 15% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 17% | 43% | 31% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
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BarcelonaWLWDLWWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 92% | 82% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 54% | 64% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 31% | 45% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 8% | 36% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 7-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.90 @ Unibet
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away1.86 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.37 @ Betano
Under 2.53.34 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ Bet365
No3.20 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atletico Madrid
vs
Barcelona
Expected goals
3.53
Atletico Madrid xG
League Avg: 1.87
Total
5.46
1.93
Barcelona xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.5%
Draw
14.0%
Away
16.6%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
6.0%
Tip
3 - 2
5.8%
Tip
4 - 1
5.3%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
62%
Chance
BTTS
92%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 3.53 (league 1.87), Barcelona = 1.93 (league 1.35)
| Barcelona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 16.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1