Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.20)
0.80 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1% | 18.3% | 12.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Olancho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CD Marathon | 0 | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 57% | 79% |
| Defense | 64% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| Wins | 71% | 29% | 50% | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 19% | 48% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 41% |
| Loses | 10% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 40% | 26% |
CD MarathonWWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLWWWWDWDLDWDLDDDLWDWWWLLW
OlanchoLWDWWDDWDWDDLDLDLLDWLDWLLDDWWDLDWDWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 35 | 74 | 39 | 27 | 66 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 22 | 28 | 50 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CD Marathon | Olancho | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 52% | 85% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 24% | 44% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 7% | 26% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 13 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 13 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 13 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-4 | 6-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CD Marathon | Olancho |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
CD Marathon
vs
Olancho
Expected goals
2.21
CD Marathon xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
3.01
0.80
Olancho xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
67.1%
Draw
18.3%
Away
12.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
12.1%
Tip
1 - 0
10.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): CD Marathon = 2.21 (league 1.20), Olancho = 0.80 (league 1.06)
| Olancho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CD Marathon | 0 | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 12.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1