Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 22:00 •
Gran Parque Central
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.32)
0.53 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 48.7% | 31.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.2%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportes Tolima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Nacional | 0 | 40.2% | 21.5% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 11% | 44% |
| Defense | 89% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
30%
FT probability
2.5+
21%
FT probability
3.5+
15%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | — | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | — | 100% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Club Nacional: D • Deportes Tolima: WDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Club Nacional | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.7% | 67.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportes Tolima and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Club Nacional = 0.38 (league 1.32), Deportes Tolima = 0.53 (league 0.94)
| Deportes Tolima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Nacional | 0 | 40.2% | 21.5% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 48.7% · Away win 31.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1