Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.25)
0.37 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4% | 21.4% | 7.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Tunis | 0 | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 62% | 54% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 83% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 20% | 50% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: ES Tunis: WWWWDDWDLWWW • Mamelodi Sundowns: WWWDDLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 42% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 60% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ES Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Double chance : ES Tunis or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away5.04 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.66 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.64 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
ES Tunis
vs
Mamelodi Sundowns
Expected goals
1.73
ES Tunis xG
League Avg: 1.25
Total
2.10
0.37
Mamelodi Sundowns xG
League Avg: 0.76
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.4%
Draw
21.4%
Away
7.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
21.2%
Tip
2 - 0
18.3%
Tip
0 - 0
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): ES Tunis = 1.73 (league 1.25), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.37 (league 0.76)
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Tunis | 0 | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 7.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1