Orenburg II 1-2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Orenburg II 1-2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Second League - Group 4 🌍 Russia

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 15:00

Orenburg II

1 - 2

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

🏆 Second League - Group 4

🌍 Russia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.53

League avg: 1.70

Both

3.04

League avg: 4.30

Away

1.51

League avg: 2.60

1X2 Probability

Home

30%

ELO-based: 26%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

43%

ELO-based: 50%

Goal Probability

2.5+

57%

3.5+

35%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

2 - 19%

1 - 28%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Khimik Dzerzhinsk
		0	1	2	3	4
Orenburg II	0	4.8%	7.2%	5.4%	2.7%	1.0%
	1	7.3%	11.1%	8.3%	4.2%	1.6%
	2	5.6%	8.5%	6.4%	3.2%	1.2%
	3	2.9%	4.3%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%
	4	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1560-13

League

1491±0

Away

1672+22

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Orenburg II	1560	1555	1547	1557	1584	-13
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1672	1695	1593	1716	1635	+22

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Orenburg II	4	10	17	4	5	1	17	11	WLDWD
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1	10	25	8	1	1	26	9	WWWWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Orenburg II	5	53%	53%	67%	1.6	1.0
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	5	87%	87%	80%	2.6	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Orenburg II	2.4	1.0	1.7	0.8	1.4	1.1
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2.5	2.8	2.6	1.0	0.8	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Orenburg II	1.7	2.4	1.1	0.8
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2.6	2.8	0.9	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.65%	19.23%	18.18%	11.11%
16-30	5.88%	7.69%	27.27%	22.22%
31-45	17.65%	11.54%	18.18%
46-60	11.76%	26.92%	18.18%
61-75	5.88%	11.54%	9.09%	11.11%
76-90	29.41%	19.23%	9.09%	33.33%

Team Comparison

38%

Form

62%

38%

Attack

62%

38%

Defense

63%

37%

Poisson

63%

H2H

Goals

34%

Total

66%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Orenburg II	3-0	0-1		3-0	3 / 2	2 / 3
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	4-0	1-5	2-3		4 / 5	3 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Orenburg II	4	2	2	2	0	2
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	3	2	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Orenburg II	2	66.67%	1	33.33%	—	—
Khimik Dzerzhinsk	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-09-28	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0 - 0 FT	Orenburg II
2025-06-22	Orenburg II	0 - 3 FT	Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.95	Dafabet
Draw	3.30	Dafabet
Away win	2.26	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.75	Marathonbet
Under 2.5	1.94	Marathonbet
BTTS Yes	1.59	Marathonbet
BTTS No	2.17	1xBet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+4'	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	I. Breslavtsev	Card	Yellow Card
90+4'	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	I. Breslavtsev	Card	Red Card
58'	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	N. Nikiforov	Goal	Normal Goal
34'	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	I. Gruznov	Goal	Penalty
21'	Orenburg II	I. Morozov	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Second League - Group 4 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Khimik Dzerzhinsk Promotion round	1	11	28	9	1	1	28	10	18	WDWWW
KDV Promotion round	2	11	25	8	1	2	22	12	10	DLLWW
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Promotion round	3	11	22	7	1	3	23	16	7	WLWWW
Orenburg II Promotion round	4	11	17	4	5	2	18	13	5	LDWDL
Krylya Sovetov II Promotion round	5	11	17	5	2	4	16	11	5	WWLDD
Akron II Promotion round	6	11	13	4	1	6	20	21	-1	LWWLL
Ural II Relegation Round	7	11	13	3	4	4	17	19	-2	WWLLD
Izhevsk Relegation Round	8	11	13	3	4	4	15	16	-1	DDDWD
Chelyabinsk II Relegation Round	9	11	12	3	3	5	10	17	-7	WDDWL
Rubin Kazan 2 Relegation Round	10	11	11	2	5	4	12	13	-1	LDDLW
Nosta Relegation Round	11	11	6	1	3	7	11	25	-14	LDLLL
Dinamo Barnaul Relegation Round	12	11	4	0	4	7	11	30	-19	LLDLD