Nosta 2-1 Chelyabinsk II: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Nosta 2-1 Chelyabinsk II: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Second League - Group 4 🌍 Russia

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 12:00

Nosta

2 - 1

Chelyabinsk II

🏆 Second League - Group 4

🌍 Russia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.27

League avg: 0.70

Both

2.25

League avg: 1.40

Away

0.99

League avg: 0.70

1X2 Probability

Home

36%

ELO-based: 34%

Draw

33%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

31%

ELO-based: 42%

Goal Probability

2.5+

46%

3.5+

26%

BTTS

49%

Best Score Tips

1 - 013%

1 - 113%

0 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Nosta vs Chelyabinsk II

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Nosta vs Chelyabinsk II.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Chelyabinsk II
		0	1	2	3	4
Nosta	0	10.5%	10.4%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
	1	13.3%	13.1%	6.5%	2.1%	0.5%
	2	8.4%	8.3%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
	3	3.6%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
	4	1.1%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1344+23

League

1493±0

Away

1384-38

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Nosta	1344	1344	1439	1356	1270	+23
Chelyabinsk II	1384	1359	1451	1328	1432	-38

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Nosta	12	19	11	2	5	12	14	44	LWLDL
Chelyabinsk II	11	19	14	3	5	11	14	30	LDLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Nosta	5	27%	8%	50%	0.4	2.4
Chelyabinsk II	5	7%	17%	63%	0.8	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Nosta	0.8	0.7	0.7	1.3	3.2	2.3
Chelyabinsk II	0.8	0.7	0.7	1.3	1.9	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Nosta	0.7	0.8	2.3	1.3
Chelyabinsk II	0.7	0.7	1.6	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	28.57%	28.57%	11.36%	23.33%
16-30	14.29%	7.14%	6.82%
31-45	28.57%	28.57%	22.73%	16.67%
46-60	21.43%	7.14%	15.91%	26.67%
61-75	7.14%	14.29%	15.91%	10.00%
76-90		14.29%	22.73%	20.00%

Team Comparison

Form

33%

Attack

67%

43%

Defense

57%

52%

Poisson

48%

29%

H2H

71%

Goals

46%

Total

54%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Nosta	1-0	2-3	0-2	5-0	2 / 3	2 / 5
Chelyabinsk II	3-1	1-2	0-3	4-0	3 / 2	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Nosta	1	1	0	10	4	6
Chelyabinsk II	3	2	1	11	5	6

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Nosta	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—
Chelyabinsk II	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-31	Chelyabinsk II	1 - 1 FT	Nosta
2025-09-28	Nosta	0 - 1 FT	Chelyabinsk II
2025-06-22	Chelyabinsk II	1 - 1 FT	Nosta

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
85'	Nosta	E. Pigaev	Card	Red Card
79'	Chelyabinsk II	N. Kozlov	Goal	Normal Goal
61'	Nosta	I. Kamyshev	Goal	Penalty
24'	Nosta	M. Kaptinar	Goal	Own Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Khimik Dzerzhinsk Promotion	1	19	50	16	2	1	52	13	39	WWWDW
KDV	2	19	44	14	2	3	36	19	17	WWWWW
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	3	19	42	13	3	3	45	21	24	DWWDW
Krylya Sovetov II	4	19	26	6	8	5	24	20	4	DDDDW
Akron II	5	19	26	8	2	9	34	29	5	WWLWL
Izhevsk	6	19	22	5	7	7	26	26	0	DDWLL
Rubin Kazan 2	7	19	20	4	8	7	21	27	-6	DLDDW
Orenburg II	8	19	20	4	8	7	25	30	-5	LDDLL
Ural II	9	19	19	4	7	8	30	38	-8	LLDDL
Dinamo Barnaul	10	19	17	4	5	10	22	46	-24	WLLLW
Chelyabinsk II Relegation	11	19	14	3	5	11	14	30	-16	LLLDL
Nosta Relegation	12	19	11	2	5	12	14	44	-30	LDLWL