AEK Athens FC 2-1 Panathinaikos: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, May 10 2026 Β· 16:30
FT
🌍 Greece
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.55
League avg: 1.80
Both
2.45
League avg: 3.30
Away
0.90
League avg: 1.50
1X2 Probability
Home
65%
ELO-based: 47%
Draw
24%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
11%
ELO-based: 29%
Goal Probability
2.5+
49%
3.5+
35%
BTTS
61%
Best Score Tips
1 - 013%
1 - 112%
2 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Panathinaikos
01234
AEK Athens FC 0 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 13.4% 12.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4%
2 10.4% 9.3% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
3 5.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
4 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1710+15
League
1543Β±0
Away
1622-28
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
AEK Athens FC17101723159916991722+15
Panathinaikos16221615151615601642-28
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
AEK Athens FC1296720725317DWWWD
Panathinaikos4295114964428DWDLD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
AEK Athens FC 5 73% 75% 83% 1.8 0.4
Panathinaikos 5 40% 17% 75% 0.4 0.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
AEK Athens FC 2.0 1.7 1.8 0.4 0.8 0.6
Panathinaikos 1.7 1.4 1.5 0.8 1.1 1.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
AEK Athens FC 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.4
Panathinaikos 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.1
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 11.76% 25.00% 21.05% 7.14%
16-30 11.76% 6.82% 10.53% 10.71%
31-45 11.76% 20.45% 21.05% 25.00%
46-60 17.65% 15.91% 5.26% 10.71%
61-75 23.53% 13.64% 31.58% 21.43%
76-90 23.53% 18.18% 10.53% 25.00%
Team Comparison
65%
Form
35%
82%
Attack
18%
6%
Defense
4%
79%
Poisson
21%
5%
H2H
5%
56%
Goals
44%
65%
Total
35%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
AEK Athens FC 4-0 0-5 0-2 2-0 4 / 5 2 / 2
Panathinaikos 4-1 1-4 0-2 4-0 4 / 4 3 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
AEK Athens FC 18 10 8 4 1 3
Panathinaikos 11 6 5 8 3 5
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
AEK Athens FC 7 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Panathinaikos 9 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-03 Panathinaikos 0 - 0 FT AEK Athens FC
2026-01-18 AEK Athens FC 4 - 0 FT Panathinaikos
2025-11-30 Panathinaikos 2 - 3 FT AEK Athens FC
2025-05-04 AEK Athens FC 1 - 2 FT Panathinaikos
2025-04-06 Panathinaikos 3 - 1 FT AEK Athens FC
2025-01-19 Panathinaikos 1 - 0 FT AEK Athens FC
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.45 Homepage market
Draw 4.20 Homepage market
Away win 6.50 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.90 Homepage market
BTTS market 2.05 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
expected_goals 2.16 0.45
Ball Possession 62% 38%
Total Shots 17 10
Shots on Goal 6 3
Shots off Goal 8 6
Blocked Shots 3 1
Shots insidebox 14 6
Shots outsidebox 3 4
Corner Kicks 8 1
Offsides 2 1
Fouls 11 16
Yellow Cards 4 2
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 2 4
Total passes 443 287
Passes accurate 361 209
Passes % 81% 73%
goals_prevented 0.87 0.87
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+6' AEK Athens FC L. Jovic subst Out: R. Ljubicic
90+3' AEK Athens FC Joao Mario Goal Normal Goal
86' AEK Athens FC R. Marin subst Out: Joao Mario
86' AEK Athens FC A. Koita subst Out: P. Mantalos
85' AEK Athens FC O. Pineda Card Yellow Card
84' Panathinaikos A. Tetteh subst Out: M. Pantovic
84' Panathinaikos V. Taborda subst Out: F. Djuricic
81' Panathinaikos A. Lafont Card Yellow Card
79' Panathinaikos S. Andino subst Out: A. Jagusic
74' Panathinaikos S. Kontouris subst Out: M. Siopis
73' Panathinaikos P. Pantelidis subst Out: A. Zaroury
72' AEK Athens FC Zini Goal Normal Goal
66' AEK Athens FC R. Pereyra subst Out: Zini
64' AEK Athens FC T. Strakosha Card Yellow Card
62' Panathinaikos A. Tetteh Goal Normal Goal
61' Panathinaikos A. Tetteh Card Yellow Card
45+1' AEK Athens FC B. Varga Var Goal Disallowed - offside
42' Panathinaikos D. Calabria Card Yellow Card
34' AEK Athens FC F. Relvas Card Yellow Card
18' AEK Athens FC H. Moukoudi Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Super League 1 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
AEK Athens FC Championship round 1 26 60 18 6 2 49 17 32 DDWDW
Olympiakos Piraeus Championship round 2 26 58 17 7 2 45 11 34 DWDLW
PAOK Championship round 3 26 57 17 6 3 52 17 35 DDDWL
Panathinaikos Championship round 4 26 49 14 7 5 44 26 18 DLLDL
Levadiakos Qualifying round 5 26 42 12 6 8 51 37 14 LWWWL
OFI Qualifying round 6 26 32 10 2 14 34 45 -11 WLLLW
Volos NFC Qualifying round 7 26 31 9 4 13 26 38 -12 LLLLL
Aris Thessalonikis Qualifying round 8 26 30 6 12 8 20 27 -7 WWWWW
Atromitos Relegation Round 9 26 29 7 8 11 26 30 -4 LWLLW
Kifisia Relegation Round 10 26 27 6 9 11 32 42 -10 DLWWD
Panetolikos Relegation Round 11 26 26 7 5 14 24 38 -14 DDWLD
Larisa Relegation Round 12 26 23 4 11 11 22 39 -17 WDDDL
Panserraikos Relegation Round 13 26 17 4 5 17 16 55 -39 DLLDW
Asteras Tripolis Relegation Round 14 26 17 3 8 15 22 41 -19 DWDWL
AEK Athens FC Champions League Qualification 1 32 72 21 9 2 57 20 37 DDWDW
Olympiakos Piraeus Champions League Qualification 2 32 66 19 9 4 51 17 34 DWDLW
PAOK UEFA Europa League Qualification 3 32 64 18 10 4 59 25 34 DDDWL
Panathinaikos Conference League Qualification 4 32 52 14 10 8 47 33 14 DLLDL
Atromitos 1 35 43 11 10 14 43 42 1 LWLLW
Kifisia 2 35 38 8 14 13 37 49 -12 DLWWD
Panetolikos 3 35 36 9 9 17 34 49 -15 DDWLD
Asteras Tripolis 4 35 33 7 12 16 34 48 -14 DWDWL
Larisa Relegation 5 35 30 5 15 15 32 53 -21 WDDDL
Panserraikos Relegation 6 35 29 7 8 20 25 67 -42 DLLDW
Aris Thessalonikis 1 32 31 11 13 8 34 32 2 WWWWW
Levadiakos 2 32 31 15 7 10 63 47 16 LWWWL
OFI UEFA Europa League Qualification 3 32 23 12 3 17 43 55 -12 WLLLW
Volos NFC 4 32 17 9 5 18 33 55 -22 LLLLL