PAOK 1-1 AEK Athens FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Wed, May 13 2026 Β· 16:30
FT
🌍 Greece
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.40
League avg: 1.90
Both
2.40
League avg: 3.70
Away
1.00
League avg: 1.80
1X2 Probability
Home
55%
ELO-based: 32%
Draw
31%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
14%
ELO-based: 44%
Goal Probability
2.5+
49%
3.5+
35%
BTTS
58%
Best Score Tips
1 - 013%
1 - 113%
0 - 09%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: PAOK vs AEK Athens FC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
AEK Athens FC
01234
PAOK 0 9.1% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 12.7% 12.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5%
2 8.9% 8.9% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
3 4.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1655+3
League
1543Β±0
Away
1712+30
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
PAOK16551659161217331648+3
AEK Athens FC17121731158017021721+30
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
PAOK3306218845622LDLWD
AEK Athens FC1307021725518WWWDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
PAOK 5 33% 45% 36% 1.0 1.4
AEK Athens FC 5 87% 82% 91% 1.8 0.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
PAOK 2.0 1.7 1.9 0.3 1.2 0.7
AEK Athens FC 2.0 1.7 1.8 0.4 0.8 0.6
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
PAOK 1.9 2.0 0.7 0.3
AEK Athens FC 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 14.55% 11.32% 17.39% 20.00%
16-30 16.36% 11.32% 17.39% 10.00%
31-45 18.18% 11.32% 17.39% 20.00%
46-60 18.18% 16.98% 8.70% 5.00%
61-75 16.36% 24.53% 26.09% 35.00%
76-90 16.36% 24.53% 13.04% 10.00%
Team Comparison
28%
Form
72%
36%
Attack
64%
13%
Defense
88%
75%
Poisson
25%
71%
H2H
29%
55%
Goals
45%
46%
Total
54%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
PAOK 4-1 0-5 3-0 4 / 5 1 / 3
AEK Athens FC 4-0 0-5 0-2 2-0 4 / 5 2 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
PAOK 16 11 5 7 3 4
AEK Athens FC 18 10 8 4 1 3
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
PAOK 6 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
AEK Athens FC 7 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-19 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 FT PAOK
2026-02-15 PAOK 0 - 0 FT AEK Athens FC
2025-10-19 AEK Athens FC 0 - 2 FT PAOK
2025-05-11 PAOK 1 - 0 FT AEK Athens FC
2025-03-30 AEK Athens FC 2 - 3 FT PAOK
2025-02-02 PAOK 1 - 2 FT AEK Athens FC
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.85 Homepage market
Draw 3.40 Homepage market
Away win 3.60 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 2.00 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.80 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatPAOKAEK Athens FC
expected_goals 1.69 0.92
Ball Possession 55% 45%
Total Shots 15 13
Shots on Goal 4 4
Shots off Goal 3 4
Blocked Shots 8 5
Shots insidebox 10 9
Shots outsidebox 5 4
Corner Kicks 8 5
Offsides 2 1
Fouls 11 11
Yellow Cards 3 1
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 3 3
Total passes 484 396
Passes accurate 404 330
Passes % 83% 83%
goals_prevented 0.75 0.75
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
88' PAOK A. Mythou Goal Assist: A. Zivkovic
85' PAOK G. Konstantelias subst Out: G. Giakoumakis
84' PAOK A. Zivkovic Card Yellow Card
83' PAOK Taison subst Out: D. Pelkas
83' AEK Athens FC Zini subst Out: P. Mantalos
77' PAOK A. Bianco Card Yellow Card
74' PAOK A. Jeremejeff subst Out: A. Mythou
74' PAOK S. Meite subst Out: A. Bianco
73' AEK Athens FC L. Jovic Goal Assist: D. Kutesa
72' AEK Athens FC Joao Mario subst Out: D. Kutesa
63' AEK Athens FC A. Koita subst Out: L. Jovic
48' PAOK A. R. Baba Card Yellow Card
46' PAOK J. Kenny subst Out: J. Sanchez
46' AEK Athens FC B. Varga subst Out: R. Ljubicic
10' AEK Athens FC A. Koita Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Super League 1 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
AEK Athens FC Championship round 1 26 60 18 6 2 49 17 32 DWDWW
Olympiakos Piraeus Championship round 2 26 58 17 7 2 45 11 34 WDLWL
PAOK Championship round 3 26 57 17 6 3 52 17 35 DDWLD
Panathinaikos Championship round 4 26 49 14 7 5 44 26 18 LLDLD
Levadiakos Qualifying round 5 26 42 12 6 8 51 37 14 WWWLD
OFI Qualifying round 6 26 32 10 2 14 34 45 -11 LLLWD
Volos NFC Qualifying round 7 26 31 9 4 13 26 38 -12 LLLLD
Aris Thessalonikis Qualifying round 8 26 30 6 12 8 20 27 -7 WWWWD
Atromitos Relegation Round 9 26 29 7 8 11 26 30 -4 LWLLW
Kifisia Relegation Round 10 26 27 6 9 11 32 42 -10 DLWWD
Panetolikos Relegation Round 11 26 26 7 5 14 24 38 -14 DWLDL
Larisa Relegation Round 12 26 23 4 11 11 22 39 -17 WDDDL
Panserraikos Relegation Round 13 26 17 4 5 17 16 55 -39 LLDWL
Asteras Tripolis Relegation Round 14 26 17 3 8 15 22 41 -19 DWDWL
AEK Athens FC Champions League Qualification 1 31 71 21 8 2 56 19 37 DWDWW
Olympiakos Piraeus Champions League Qualification 2 31 65 19 8 4 50 16 34 WDLWL
PAOK UEFA Europa League Qualification 3 31 63 18 9 4 57 23 34 DDWLD
Panathinaikos Conference League Qualification 4 31 51 14 9 8 45 31 14 LLDLD
Atromitos 1 35 43 11 10 14 43 42 1 LWLLW
Kifisia 2 35 38 8 14 13 37 49 -12 DLWWD
Panetolikos 3 34 35 9 8 17 33 48 -15 DWLDL
Asteras Tripolis 4 35 33 7 12 16 34 48 -14 DWDWL
Larisa Relegation 5 35 30 5 15 15 32 53 -21 WDDDL
Panserraikos Relegation 6 34 28 7 7 20 24 66 -42 LLDWL
Levadiakos 1 31 31 15 7 9 63 44 19 WWWLD
Aris Thessalonikis 2 31 28 10 13 8 31 32 -1 WWWWD
OFI UEFA Europa League Qualification 3 31 20 11 3 17 40 54 -14 LLLWD
Volos NFC 4 31 17 9 5 17 32 52 -20 LLLLD