Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 23:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.14) 1.80 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 20.7% 32.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penarol 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenarolLiverpool Montevideo
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack82%55%
Defense73%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penarol Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%80%70%20%40%30%
Draws20%0%10%40%40%40%
Loses20%20%20%40%20%30%

Form: Penarol: WLWWDWWWLW • Liverpool Montevideo: WLDWWDLDDL

League goals

Metric Penarol Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total107176713
GF avg2.01.41.71.21.41.3
GA total6287613
GA avg1.20.40.81.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenarolLiverpool Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%70%70%
1.550%20%40%40%
2.520%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenarolLiverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets044213
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricPenarolLiverpool Montevideo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPenarolLiverpool Montevideo
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-21-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPenarolLiverpool Montevideo
Form80%20%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away5.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Penarol = 2.11 (league 1.14), Liverpool Montevideo = 1.80 (league 0.93)

Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penarol 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% Ā· Draw 20.7% Ā· Away win 32.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1