Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:30 • Parque Artigas
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.14) 1.29 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 28.5% 44.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 11.1% 14.3% 9.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudProgreso
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack27%45%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventud Progreso
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins20%0%10%0%25%10%
Draws0%20%10%33%50%40%
Loses80%80%80%67%25%50%

Form: Juventud: LDLLWLLLLL • Progreso: LLLDDWLDDL

League goals

Metric Juventud Progreso
HATHAT
GF total459549
GF avg0.81.00.90.81.00.9
GA total6111712517
GA avg1.22.21.72.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudProgreso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%50%90%
1.520%50%30%60%
2.510%10%10%20%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudProgreso
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score314415

Penalties

MetricJuventudProgreso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJuventudProgreso
Wins11
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1——0-1
Biggest losses1-24-10-32-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricJuventudProgreso
Form0%100%
Att38%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Progreso

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away3.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Juventud = 0.91 (league 1.14), Progreso = 1.29 (league 0.93)

Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 11.1% 14.3% 9.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% Ā· Draw 28.5% Ā· Away win 44.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1